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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 07 February 20
CIL LOOKING TO TAP NON-POWER SECTORS FOR INCREMENTAL COAL, PTI REPORTED
The miner is looking to ramp up production to meet its targets for the current fiscal at a time when the economic slowdown is impacting demand for ...
Friday, 07 February 20
VIRUS - HIT CHINA MAY NEED MORE IMPORTS OF COAL. NOW COMES THE TRICKY PART - SHIPPING IT THERE: REUTERS
China’s domestic coal mines are struggling to ramp up production in the face of the ongoing coronavirus epidemic. That’s a situation th ...
Friday, 07 February 20
CORONAVIRUS IMPACTING THE GLOBAL SHIPPING INDUSTRY - BIMCO
The outbreak of the novel Coronavirus has dented market sentiment and spooked markets around the globe. When China sneezes, we all catch the flu. T ...
Thursday, 06 February 20
CAPE: WEAK SUPPLY/DEMAND RATIO THE STREETS REMAIN BLOODY FOR THE BIG SHIPS - FEARNLEYS
Cape: With still a weak supply/demand ratio the streets remain bloody for the big ships, and actual spot earnings are close to zero on main short-h ...
Thursday, 06 February 20
CHINESE DEMAND KEY UNCERTAINTY FOR SEABORNE COAL MARKET IN 2020 - THE BRICS POST
Coal trader Noble Resources head of research Rodrigo Echeverri Cardozo had penciled in a 3 Mt drop in Chinese import demand for 2020, but it could ...
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- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- White Energy Company Limited
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Australian Coal Association
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Planning Commission, India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
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