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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 18 March 20
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Despite we all knew about the Covid-19 weeks ago, few could realize the size of the thread until the last few days. The examples of China and Italy ...
Tuesday, 17 March 20
IT IS NOW UNQUESTIONABLE THAT 2020 WILL BE A MILESTONE YEAR FOR THE OIL MARKET, AS WELL AS THE WHOLE GLOBAL ECONOMY - ALLIED
It is now unquestionable that 2020 will be a milestone year for the oil market, as well as the whole global economy. The impact from the COVID-19 o ...
Tuesday, 17 March 20
PRELIMINARY FIELD EXPERIENCES ON THE EFFECTS OF LSFO AND VLSFO ON CYLINDER CONDITION - HANS JENSEN LUBRICATORS
It is now more than two months since the 0.5% sulphur cap entered into force, which have affected the operation of more than 70,000 vessels. As ant ...
Monday, 16 March 20
ULTRAMAX: S8 INDONESIA-INDIA AND S10 INDONESIA-CHINA ROUTES BOTH POSTED GAINS OF $1,412, AND $1,289 ON THE WEEK, TO CLOSE AT $5,575, AND $6,089 RESPECTIVELY - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
The Capesize market came to work on Monday, with little expectation, or confidence, that the days ahead were going to bring anything o ...
Sunday, 15 March 20
CAPTIVE COAL OUTPUT RISES 19% IN APRIL-FEBRUARY - FINANCIAL EXPRESS
Coal production from captive mines in the first eleven months of the ongoing fiscal have increased by 18.8% year-on-year (y-o-y) to 51.7 million to ...
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- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- The University of Queensland
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
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