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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Thursday, 19 March 20
A CRUDE TSUNAMI: UP TO 3 MILLION BPD OF EXTRA OIL CAN HIT THE MARKET FROM APRIL, MORE COMING IN MAY - RYSTAD ENERGY
The extra oil coming into the global market from April will be as much as 3 million barrels per day (bpd), Rystad Energy estimates. Two million bpd ...
Thursday, 19 March 20
BIMCO REVISES 2020 FORECAST FOR MAIN SHIPPING MARKETS
The coronavirus pandemic is impacting global shipping demand for 2020 negatively. The speed of the virus spread makes it difficult to assess the fu ...
Thursday, 19 March 20
U.S. COAL EXPORTS DECLINED IN 2019 - EIA
In 2019, U.S. coal exports declined to 93 million short tons (MMst), a 20% decrease from the previous year, according to the U.S. Energy Informatio ...
Thursday, 19 March 20
SOUTH KOREA'S KOSPO INVITED BIDS FOR MIN 3,700 OR MIN 4,200 NCV LOW CALORIFIC VALUE COAL
COALspot.com: Korea Southern Power Co., Ltd. (KOSPO), has issued an international tender for total 160,000 MT (±10%) (80,000 x 2 Panamax) of ...
Wednesday, 18 March 20
DRY BULK: INDONESIAN COAL CARGOES PROVIDING A BIG BOOST IN THE EAST WHERE SENTIMENT FOR HANDIES ALSO STARTED IMPROVING - INTERMODAL
The BDI ended last week with small gains on the back of an encouraging number of cargoes out of key trading regions that helped sustain the reserve ...
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- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Planning Commission, India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- White Energy Company Limited
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- MS Steel International - UAE
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Parliament of New Zealand
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
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