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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 02 August 24
COAL MARKET DEVELOPMENTS: FALLING PRICES AMID RECORD-HIGH OUTPUT - WORLD BANK
Coal prices inched up in May (m/m) following an 8 percent decline in 2024Q1. The Australian and South African benchmarks have plummeted more ...
Friday, 26 July 24
FUELEU MARITME IS COMING. IS YOUR CHARTERPARTY READY? - GARD
With less than six months to implementation of FuelEU Maritime in EU and EEA trades, there has been little published advice regarding how to alloca ...
Thursday, 04 July 24
INDIA'S COAL PRODUCTION RISES 14% IN JUNE - PTI
The country’s coal production rose by 14.49% to 84.63 million tonne (MT) in June. The country’s coal output was 73.92 MT in June last f ...
Tuesday, 02 July 24
NTPC CAPTIVE COAL OUTPUT GROWS 15% IN Q1; DESPATCH RISES 17%
State-owned NTPC on Monday reported a 15 per cent year-on-year increase in the production of coal from captives mines to 9.862 metric million tonne ...
Friday, 28 June 24
KOSPO INVITED BIDS FOR 400,000 MT OF MINIMUM 4000 NCV COAL FOR FIVE YEARS
Korea Southern Power Co., Ltd. (KOSPO), is inviting bids for total 400,000 MT of Low Calorific Value Coal for 5 years starting from July 2024 until ...
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- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- White Energy Company Limited
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Parliament of New Zealand
- The University of Queensland
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
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