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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 06 September 24
REBOUND IN OIL DEMAND COULD LIFT MARKET IN LATTER HALF OF 2024 - BIMCO
Supply/demand
Based on a strong second half demand, the supply/balance is forecast to strengthen in 2024 but weaken slightly in 2025 as n ...
Friday, 06 September 24
GLOBAL SEABORNE LNG TRADE HAS CONTINUED TO INCREASE LAST YEAR - BANCHERO COSTA
Global seaborne LNG trade has continued to increase last year, helped also by the events in Ukraine which forced Europe to diversify away from Russ ...
Wednesday, 28 August 24
SEABORNE COAL IMPORTS INTO INDIA INCREASED BY +9.9% Y-O-Y TO 146.6 MLN T - BANCHERO COSTA
Global coal trade has really picked up pace over the past year, and is now fully back to pre-Covid levels said Banchero Costa Research in its lates ...
Tuesday, 06 August 24
EXERCISE CAUTION WITH AMMONIA SWITCH - BALTIC EXCHANGE
A new study from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) has thrown a spanner into the plan to transition ships from diesel fuel to ammonia ...
Friday, 02 August 24
ENERGY MARKET DEVELOPMENTS: COAL AND NATURAL GAS PRICES REACH RECORD HIGHS - WORLD BANK
The recent surge in natural gas and coal prices has been so swift that the main benchmarks were roughly three times higher in 2022Q2 compared to a ...
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- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- White Energy Company Limited
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- PTC India Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Planning Commission, India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
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