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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 24 June 24
PHILIPPINES COAL SUPPLY ENOUGH UNTIL 2030 - PHILSTAR GLOBAL
The country’s existing coal-fired power plants are sufficient to ensure enough base load capacity in the next six years, Energy Secretary Rap ...
Friday, 14 June 24
NEXTDECADE, SAUDI ARAMCO SIGN 20-YEAR LNG SUPPLY DEAL - REUTERS
U.S. liquefied natural gas (LNG) provider NextDecade has signed a non-binding agreement with Saudi Aramco 2222.SE to supply 1.2 million tonnes per ...
Friday, 14 June 24
NEWBUILDING PRICES CLIMB 3% TO HIGHEST LEVEL IN 16 YEARS - NIELS RASMUSSEN
“Since the start of the year, newbuilding prices have risen 3% to their highest level since 2008. Compared to their most recent low in late 2 ...
Friday, 14 June 24
INDIA TARGETS HIGHER DOMESTIC COAL PRODUCTION, REDUCED IMPORTS: GOVT - REUTERS
India wants to reduce coal imports and increase domestic production, federal coal minister G. Kishan Reddy said on Thursday.
The cou ...
Thursday, 13 June 24
US LNG TO ASIA FOR POWER GENERATION EXPECTED TO CUT EMISSIONS VERSUS COAL - RYSTAD ENERGY
The value-chain emissions of liquified natural gas (LNG) are lower on average than for coal-fired power generation, even when the fuel is shipp ...
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- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Planning Commission, India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- MS Steel International - UAE
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- The University of Queensland
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
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