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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 12 May 20
A GLOBAL ECONOMIC RESTART HAS SLOWLY BEGUN AS COUNTRIES AROUND THE WORLD GRADUALLY - ALLIED
A global economic restart has slowly begun as countries around the world gradually set their return back to “normality”. Yet by all mea ...
Tuesday, 12 May 20
CAN INDONESIA'S COAL INDUSTRY SURVIVE COVID-19? : IEEFA
Pandemic Lockdown and Slumping Prices Put Extreme Pressure on Coal Miners
Executive Summary
While attention has been focused on th ...
Tuesday, 12 May 20
INDIA'S COAL PRODUCTION TO CLOCK RECORD 700 MILLION TONNES IN FY21: COAL SECRETARY - PTI
Coal Secretary Anil Jain said FY20 coal production was lower than the target of 660 million tonnes because of flooding of a key coal mine.
&nbs ...
Monday, 11 May 20
CHINA'S BENCHMARK POWER COAL PRICE DROPS SLIGHTLY - XINHUA
China’s benchmark power coal price dropped slightly during the past week.
The Bohai-Rim Steam-Coal Price Index (BSPI), a gauge ...
Monday, 11 May 20
CORONAVIRUS PUTS MORE THAN A THIRD OF SEABORNE COAL SUPPLY AT RISK - WOOD MACKENZIE
The full impact of the coronavirus outbreak on the global economy is yet unclear. However, the demand destruction is already becoming evident, with ...
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- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Australian Coal Association
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Planning Commission, India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- The University of Queensland
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
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