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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 18 May 20
TAKING ADVANTAGE OF VIRUS DISTRACTION - BALTIC EXCHANGE
As the industry grapples to deal with exceptional Covid-19-related challenges, a deeper threat is coming to the fore. At this time of crisis, more ...
Monday, 18 May 20
THERMAL COAL SPOT PRICE TUMBLES 25 PER CENT, PUTTING PRESSURE ON SOME PRODUCERS - ABC RURAL
The spot price for thermal coal has fallen 25 per cent per cent in the past month with one leading analyst saying it is because of a reduction in d ...
Monday, 18 May 20
CHINA'S COAL OUTPUT UP 1.3 PCT IN JANUARY-APRIL: XINHUA
Output of raw coal in China rose 1.3 percent year on year to 1.15 billion tonnes in the first four months this year, official data showed.
&nbs ...
Sunday, 17 May 20
A 55,000 OPEN ILIGAN FIXING AT $6,500 VIA INDONESIA REDELIVERY INDIA - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
A precipitous fall in the market this week had the Capesize 5TC shedding over 50 per cent in value. A small rebound at the end of the ...
Friday, 15 May 20
CHINA'S COAL CONSUMPTION TO FALL Y/Y IN SECOND QUARTER, IMPROVEMENT EXPECTED IN SECOND HALF - INDUSTRY BODY: REUTERS
China’s coal consumption is expected to decline in the second quarter from a year earlier, but will see an improvement in the second half of ...
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- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- The University of Queensland
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- White Energy Company Limited
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- PTC India Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
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