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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Saturday, 09 May 20
ANGLO AMERICAN CONSIDERS SPINNING OFF SOUTH AFRICAN COAL OPERATIONS - REUTERS
Diversified miner Anglo American said on Thursday it prefers unbundling and listing its thermal coal operations in South Africa on the Johannesburg ...
Friday, 08 May 20
THE COLLAPSE OF THE OIL AND BUNKER FUEL MARKETS IN EARLY 2020 - PETER SAND
The sulphur regulation from the International Maritime Organization (IMO) that came into force on 1 January 2020 took the centre stage in the shipp ...
Friday, 08 May 20
LNG DEMAND FACED SEVERAL HEADWINDS IN THE FIRST QUARTER OF 2020 - GASLOG
LNG demand faced several headwinds in the first quarter of 2020 including a warmer than average winter in the northern hemisphere, high inventory l ...
Thursday, 07 May 20
IEEFA UPDATE: THE OUTLOOK FOR THERMAL COAL IN SOUTHEAST ASIA AND SOUTH ASIA
Seven headwinds are building to sustained growth in coal in Asia
The medium term outlook for thermal coal in Southeast Asia is posit ...
Thursday, 07 May 20
IMO 2020: BUNKER CLAIMS HANDLING GUIDE FOR A NEW DECADE - THE STANDARD CLUB
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
IMO 2020 is the term generally used to describe the following regulations under Annex VI of the International Convention ...
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- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Australian Coal Association
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- The University of Queensland
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- PTC India Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- White Energy Company Limited
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Planning Commission, India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
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