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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 07 January 21
FITCH FORECASTS DOUBLING IN ASIAN WIND, SOLAR CAPACITY BY 2029, TOPPING 1,500GW
Despite some near-term delays due to the Covid-19 pandemic, solar power and offshore wind will drive steep growth in non-hydro renewables in Asia, ...
Wednesday, 06 January 21
INDONESIA EXCEEDS COAL PRODUCTION TARGET IN 2020
Indonesian coal production reached 557.54 Million Tons in 2020 1.37% higher than of last year’s total target of 550.00 Million Tons, accordin ...
Wednesday, 06 January 21
CHINESE CITIES REPORTEDLY GO DARK AS COUNTRY FACES SHORTAGE OF COAL, A MAJOR AUSTRALIAN EXPORT - CNBC
Several major Chinese cities have reportedly gone dark as authorities limit power usage, citing a shortage of coal.
Analysts said pr ...
Tuesday, 05 January 21
CHINA TAIYUAN COAL TRANSACTION PRICE INDEX UP - XINHUA
China Taiyuan coal transaction price index stood at 136 points Monday, up 0.91 percent week on week.
The index, released by China Ta ...
Tuesday, 05 January 21
THE INDONESIA COAL PRICE REFERENCE SOARS TO HIGHEST ONE-MONTH INCREASE SINCE DECEMBER 2016
COALspot.com: The Indonesia coal price reference for January 2021 settles above $75 for the first time since July 2019 and to highest one-month inc ...
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- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Minerals Council of Australia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- White Energy Company Limited
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
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