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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 13 January 21
CHINA THERMAL GENCO PROFITS FACE PRESSURE AMID POWER SHORTAGES - FITHCH WIRE
High coal and gas prices will put near-term pressure on margins for thermal power generators in China, says Fitch Ratings. However, the power short ...
Wednesday, 13 January 21
COAL TO BE BIGGEST CONTRIBUTOR TO INDIA'S $5 TRILLION ECONOMY: AMIT SHAH - BUSINESS STANDARD
The Centre on Monday awarded the letter of allocation to successful bidders of coal mines under the commercial auction held during October-November ...
Monday, 11 January 21
MUTED COAL RECOVERY IN 2021 - BALTIC EXCHANGE
Coal demand is expected to rebound in 2021
Medium-term outlook is less favourable although demand declines are expected to be subtle ...
Sunday, 10 January 21
KOREAN GENCOS INVITED BIDS FOR TOTAL 880,000 TONS OF COAL FOR MARCH 2021 LOADING
COALspot.com: Korea South-East Power Co., Ltd. (KOEN), on behalf of EWP, KOSPO, KOSEP and KOWEPO issued an international tender for total 880 ...
Friday, 08 January 21
INDIA COULD COMPETE AGAINST CHINA IN SOLAR MODULE PRODUCTION WITH THE RIGHT GOVERNMENT SUPPORT - IEEFA
The focus should be on helping manufacturers become globally competitive
Although one of the top 10 solar module producers in the world, India ...
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- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Planning Commission, India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- The University of Queensland
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- PTC India Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
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