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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Saturday, 16 January 21
SEABORNE TRADE IN STEAM COAL DECREASED BY 11.6% FROM 937 MILLION TONNES IN 2019 TO 828 MILLION TONNES IN 2020 - COAL IMPORTERS ASSOCIATION, GERMANY
According to preliminary calculations by the German Coal Importers Association (Verein der Kohlenimporteure e. V.), global hard coal production dec ...
Friday, 15 January 21
OVER US$50 BILLION IN GAS POWER PROJECTS AND LNG IMPORT FACILITIES AT RISK OF CANCELLATION IN BANGLADESH, PAKISTAN AND VIETNAM - IEEFA
Pakistan and Bangladesh have already cancelled tenders for LNG imports
Emerging markets such as Vietnam, Pakistan and Bangladesh tha ...
Friday, 15 January 21
VIETNAM'S EXTRAORDINARY ROOFTOP SOLAR SUCCESS DEALS ANOTHER BLOW TO THE REMAINING COAL PIPELINE - IEEFA
9.3 gigawatts peak of solar capacity, equal to 6 coal power plants, installed in less than a year
Vietnam’s solar power indust ...
Friday, 15 January 21
CHINA'S BENCHMARK POWER COAL PRICE EDGES UP - XINHUA
China’s benchmark power coal price rose slightly during the past week.
The Bohai-Rim Steam-Coal Price Index (BSPI), a gauge of ...
Thursday, 14 January 21
KOREA MIDLAND POWER INVITED BIDS FOR AUSTRALIAN COAL FOR THREE YEARS SUPPLY
COALspot.com: Korea Midland Power Co. Ltd, issued an International tender for total 1,560,000 MT of Min.5,700 kcal/kg NCV coal of Australian Origin ...
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- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- White Energy Company Limited
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Planning Commission, India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Australian Coal Association
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
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