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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 10 February 21
FY21 COAL DEMAND MAY BE LOWER THAN PREVIOUSLY ESTIMATED DUE TO COVID-19: PRALHAD JOSHI - PTI
Coal demand in the current fiscal may be lower than the initial estimate of 1,085 million tonnes (MT) due to the impact of COVID-19, Parliament was ...
Wednesday, 10 February 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
We have just entered February, Chinese New Year holidays are about to start and the SnP market for bulkers is so hot as every seller would dream of ...
Tuesday, 09 February 21
SWITCHING COAL PLANTS TO PLN'S BIOMASS COFIRING PLAN IS NO MAGIC BULLET - IEEFA
Implementation risks for Indonesia PLN's switch from coal to biomass cofiring
PLN’s biomass cofiring plan will require not ...
Friday, 05 February 21
THE INDONESIA COAL PRICE REFERENCE FOR FEBRUARY 2021 SETTLES AT US$ 87.79 PER TON FOB VESSEL
COALspot.com: The Indonesia coal price reference for February 2021 settles at US$ 87.79 per ton FOB vessel. The February reference price is the hig ...
Thursday, 04 February 21
WHY BANGLADESH SHOULDN’T COUNT ON A FOSSIL FUEL FUTURE - IEEFA
Around US$50 billion of LNG projects in Asia at risk of cancellation
Two astonishing figures have circulated in the Asian energy sector in the ...
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- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- The University of Queensland
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Economic Council, Georgia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- White Energy Company Limited
- Parliament of New Zealand
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
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