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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 29 January 21
COAL EXPORTS FROM AUSTRALIA TO MAINLAND CHINA DECLINED BY -22.2% Y-O-Y IN 2020 - BANCHERO COSTA
In the 12 months of 2020, global seaborne coal trade declined by as much as -12.7% year-on-year, according to vessel tracking data from Refinitiv, ...
Friday, 29 January 21
OPEC+, COVID-19 AND ENERGY TRANSITION - 3 THEMES IMPACTING OIL MARKETS AND REFINING IN 2021 - WOOD MACKENZIE
Wood Mackenzie’s latest outlook report shows that the art of balancing oil markets and the refining sector in 2021 hinges upon three key them ...
Thursday, 28 January 21
STRONG CHINESE THERMAL COAL IMPORTS TO BENEFIT INDONESIAN MINERS IN THE NEAR TERM - FITCH RATINGS
China's thermal coal imports are likely to remain strong ahead of the Chinese New Year in mid-February on robust demand, high utilisation at do ...
Thursday, 28 January 21
WIND PROPULSION FOR DRY BULK CARRIERS - OLDENDORFF
Oldendorff Carriers (OC) has signed a Joint Development Project (JDP) with Anemoi Marine Technologies (Anemoi), Lloyd’s Register (LR) and Sha ...
Thursday, 28 January 21
BUMA PRICED A USD400 MILLION 7.75% 5-YEAR SENIOR NOTES
PT Delta Dunia Makmur Tbk. announced that its subsidiary, PT Bukit Makmur Mandiri Utama priced a USD400 million 5-year (non-callable 2-year)& ...
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- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Australian Coal Association
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- The University of Queensland
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- White Energy Company Limited
- Planning Commission, India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
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