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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Saturday, 27 February 21
CHINA'S BENCHMARK POWER COAL PRICE EDGES DOWN - XINHUA
China’s benchmark power coal price dropped slightly during the past week.
The Bohai-Rim Steam-Coal Price Index (BSPI), a gauge ...
Saturday, 27 February 21
FITCH RATINGS REVISES GLOBAL METALS AND MINING PRICE ASSUMPTIONS
Fitch Ratings has revised some of its metals and mining price assumptions as prices for many commodities will benefit in the short term from return ...
Saturday, 27 February 21
MITSUBISHI PULLS OUT OF VINH TAN 3 COAL PROJECT IN VIETNAM - NIKKEI ASIA
Japanese trading house Mitsubishi Corp. decided Thursday to withdraw from the Vinh Tan 3 coal-fired power plant project in Vietnam amid growing int ...
Thursday, 25 February 21
ARE WE ON THE CUSP OF ANOTHER MINING SUPER-CYCLE? - WOOD MACKENZIE
As the first wave of the coronavirus pandemic began to bite, many observers confidently predicted that the end was nigh for global economic activit ...
Thursday, 25 February 21
2020 PROVED TO BE A TRULY TERRIBLE YEAR FOR SEABORNE COAL TRADE - BANCHERO COSTA
Total loadings in the 12 months of 2020 were down -12.7% year-on-year to 1,130 million tonnes, according to vessels tracking data from Refinitiv, s ...
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- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Planning Commission, India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Australian Coal Association
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- PTC India Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- White Energy Company Limited
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
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