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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 06 September 24
REBOUND IN OIL DEMAND COULD LIFT MARKET IN LATTER HALF OF 2024 - BIMCO
Supply/demand
Based on a strong second half demand, the supply/balance is forecast to strengthen in 2024 but weaken slightly in 2025 as n ...
Friday, 06 September 24
GLOBAL SEABORNE LNG TRADE HAS CONTINUED TO INCREASE LAST YEAR - BANCHERO COSTA
Global seaborne LNG trade has continued to increase last year, helped also by the events in Ukraine which forced Europe to diversify away from Russ ...
Wednesday, 28 August 24
SEABORNE COAL IMPORTS INTO INDIA INCREASED BY +9.9% Y-O-Y TO 146.6 MLN T - BANCHERO COSTA
Global coal trade has really picked up pace over the past year, and is now fully back to pre-Covid levels said Banchero Costa Research in its lates ...
Tuesday, 06 August 24
EXERCISE CAUTION WITH AMMONIA SWITCH - BALTIC EXCHANGE
A new study from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) has thrown a spanner into the plan to transition ships from diesel fuel to ammonia ...
Friday, 02 August 24
ENERGY MARKET DEVELOPMENTS: COAL AND NATURAL GAS PRICES REACH RECORD HIGHS - WORLD BANK
The recent surge in natural gas and coal prices has been so swift that the main benchmarks were roughly three times higher in 2022Q2 compared to a ...
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- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- The University of Queensland
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- PTC India Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Planning Commission, India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Minerals Council of Australia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- White Energy Company Limited
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Australian Coal Association
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
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