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Monday, 16 December 19
THE OUTLOOK FOR U.S. THERMAL COAL IS INCREASINGLY STRESSED - MOODY'S
 - Slowing global economic growth, trade tensions will continue to exert influence
- Coal's secular decline will persist in 2020
Moody's Investors Service maintains negative 2020 outlooks for the US coal and US steel industries and a stable outlook for the global base metals sector, amid slowing economic growth and trade frictions, the rating agency says in its annual report.
The stable outlook for global base metals is driven by supply/demand fundamentals despite weaker GDP rates and lower Purchasing Managers Indexes (PMIs). However, a challenging macro operating environment warrants some caution for the sector.
"Geopolitical and economic concerns as well as trade tensions will once again overshadow the global base metals markets in 2020, continuing the pressures experienced as 2019 as deceleration in global economies took hold," says Carol Cowan, Moody's Senior Vice President. "ESG considerations will also continue to increase in visibility, demanding more transparency and improvement from the industry."
Moody's negative outlook for the US steel industry reflects its expectation that weaker fundamentals will hold in 2020, prices will not rebound significantly and planned new capacity will weigh on market sentiment.
"It's a tale of 2 steels – EAF producers will continue to benefit from lower scrap costs, helping mitigate lower realized steel prices, while blast furnace producers will continue to face higher iron ore costs and likely-increasing costs related to environmental compliance," says Cowan.
Meanwhile, Moody's expects US coal producers' cumulative EBITDA to decline by more than 3% over the next 12 months, due to a substantive decrease in export prices in 2019 among other factors.
"The outlook for thermal coal is increasingly stressed, with ESG factors weighing heavily on demand from utilities," says Benjamin Nelson, Moody's VP-Senior Credit Officer. "Our long-term outlook for North American thermal coal calls for a substantial volume reduction over the next decade, driven by utilities switching to natural gas, where we expect prices will remain low, and renewable energy, which still benefit from government subsidies."
Moody's outlooks for 2020 consider fundamental credit conditions that will affect sectors for the next 12-18 months.
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Tuesday, 29 January 19
CHINA HAS BEEN THE TOP DRIVER OF GLOBAL GROWTH FOR NEARLY TWO DECADES - ALLIED
China has been the top driver of global growth for nearly two decades now, pushing demand for seaborne trade and being the key influencer for deman ...
Saturday, 26 January 19
SUPRAMAX: NICKEL ORE RUNS SAW A 56K DWT VESSEL, DELIVERY PHILIPPINES, FIXED FOR A TRIP TO CHINA AT $6K - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
A week of dashed hopes for owners as the optimism evident the previous week evaporated. Rates slipped on all routes and underlying thr ...
Thursday, 24 January 19
ANOTHER DISAPPOINTING WEEK FOR PANAMAX OWNERS; MARKET CONTINUES DOWN IN BOTH BASINS - FEARNLEYS
Capesize
The week has been marked by low activity and dropping rates in both basins. As usual, supply additions have increased at the beginning ...
Thursday, 24 January 19
KOREA SOUTHERN POWER INVITED BIDS FOR 960K MT OF 4600 NCV COAL FOR THREE YEARS
COALspot.com: South Korea state-owned utility Korea Southern Power Co. Ltd (KOSPO) issued a tender for 320,000 MT of min 4,600 kcal/kg NCV low calo ...
Tuesday, 22 January 19
9TH GLOBAL MANUFACTURING SUPPLY CHAIN INNOVATION SUMMIT 2019
Rethinking the supply chain in manufacturing is a must at the digital era along with the industry transforming and innovating; new manufacturing is ...
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- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Australian Coal Association
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
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