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Monday, 16 December 19
THE OUTLOOK FOR U.S. THERMAL COAL IS INCREASINGLY STRESSED - MOODY'S
 - Slowing global economic growth, trade tensions will continue to exert influence
- Coal's secular decline will persist in 2020
Moody's Investors Service maintains negative 2020 outlooks for the US coal and US steel industries and a stable outlook for the global base metals sector, amid slowing economic growth and trade frictions, the rating agency says in its annual report.
The stable outlook for global base metals is driven by supply/demand fundamentals despite weaker GDP rates and lower Purchasing Managers Indexes (PMIs). However, a challenging macro operating environment warrants some caution for the sector.
"Geopolitical and economic concerns as well as trade tensions will once again overshadow the global base metals markets in 2020, continuing the pressures experienced as 2019 as deceleration in global economies took hold," says Carol Cowan, Moody's Senior Vice President. "ESG considerations will also continue to increase in visibility, demanding more transparency and improvement from the industry."
Moody's negative outlook for the US steel industry reflects its expectation that weaker fundamentals will hold in 2020, prices will not rebound significantly and planned new capacity will weigh on market sentiment.
"It's a tale of 2 steels – EAF producers will continue to benefit from lower scrap costs, helping mitigate lower realized steel prices, while blast furnace producers will continue to face higher iron ore costs and likely-increasing costs related to environmental compliance," says Cowan.
Meanwhile, Moody's expects US coal producers' cumulative EBITDA to decline by more than 3% over the next 12 months, due to a substantive decrease in export prices in 2019 among other factors.
"The outlook for thermal coal is increasingly stressed, with ESG factors weighing heavily on demand from utilities," says Benjamin Nelson, Moody's VP-Senior Credit Officer. "Our long-term outlook for North American thermal coal calls for a substantial volume reduction over the next decade, driven by utilities switching to natural gas, where we expect prices will remain low, and renewable energy, which still benefit from government subsidies."
Moody's outlooks for 2020 consider fundamental credit conditions that will affect sectors for the next 12-18 months.
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Thursday, 17 January 19
EIA ESTIMATES THAT U.S. COAL EXPORTS WERE 116 MMST IN 2018, 20% HIGHER THAN THE AMOUNT EXPORTED IN 2017
Coal Supply
EIA estimates that coal production declined by 20 million short tons (MMst) (3%) in 2018, despite a 19 MMst increase in U.S. coal e ...
Thursday, 17 January 19
U.S COAL OUTPUT IS EXPECTED TO FALL BY 3 PER CENT IN 2019 - EIA
EIA forecasts that U.S. coal production will total 729 million short tons (MMst) in 2019, down by 25 MMst (3%) from 2018.
Acco ...
Wednesday, 16 January 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
As we go through the first days of the year and just a few weeks before the Chinese New Year, the ship repair sector is witnessing a big difference ...
Monday, 14 January 19
KOREA SOUTHERN POWER INVITES BIDS FOR 320,000 MT OF MIN 3,800 NCV COAL
COALspot.com: South Korea state-owned utility Korea Southern Power Co. Ltd (KOSPO) issued a tender for 320,000 MT of min 3,800 kcal/kg NCV coal for ...
Friday, 11 January 19
SUPRAMAX: THE ASIAN ARENA HAD A MIXED START; LIMITED ACTION IN SOUTHEAST ASIA - THE BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
Dashed hopes summed up the first full week of the New Year. A slow start followed by a busy 24 hours of improving rates and a firming ...
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- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- White Energy Company Limited
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
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