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Monday, 16 December 19
THE OUTLOOK FOR U.S. THERMAL COAL IS INCREASINGLY STRESSED - MOODY'S
 - Slowing global economic growth, trade tensions will continue to exert influence
- Coal's secular decline will persist in 2020
Moody's Investors Service maintains negative 2020 outlooks for the US coal and US steel industries and a stable outlook for the global base metals sector, amid slowing economic growth and trade frictions, the rating agency says in its annual report.
The stable outlook for global base metals is driven by supply/demand fundamentals despite weaker GDP rates and lower Purchasing Managers Indexes (PMIs). However, a challenging macro operating environment warrants some caution for the sector.
"Geopolitical and economic concerns as well as trade tensions will once again overshadow the global base metals markets in 2020, continuing the pressures experienced as 2019 as deceleration in global economies took hold," says Carol Cowan, Moody's Senior Vice President. "ESG considerations will also continue to increase in visibility, demanding more transparency and improvement from the industry."
Moody's negative outlook for the US steel industry reflects its expectation that weaker fundamentals will hold in 2020, prices will not rebound significantly and planned new capacity will weigh on market sentiment.
"It's a tale of 2 steels – EAF producers will continue to benefit from lower scrap costs, helping mitigate lower realized steel prices, while blast furnace producers will continue to face higher iron ore costs and likely-increasing costs related to environmental compliance," says Cowan.
Meanwhile, Moody's expects US coal producers' cumulative EBITDA to decline by more than 3% over the next 12 months, due to a substantive decrease in export prices in 2019 among other factors.
"The outlook for thermal coal is increasingly stressed, with ESG factors weighing heavily on demand from utilities," says Benjamin Nelson, Moody's VP-Senior Credit Officer. "Our long-term outlook for North American thermal coal calls for a substantial volume reduction over the next decade, driven by utilities switching to natural gas, where we expect prices will remain low, and renewable energy, which still benefit from government subsidies."
Moody's outlooks for 2020 consider fundamental credit conditions that will affect sectors for the next 12-18 months.
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Wednesday, 13 February 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
If there is one word that can describe the current shipping environment then that this word is most probably “volatility.” The sentimen ...
Saturday, 09 February 19
SUPRAMAX: A 63,000-TONNER WAS REPORTED FIXED DELIVERY FOR AN EAST KALIMANTAN TRIP, REDELIVERY WEST COAST INDIA, AT $9,250 - THE BALTIC BRIEFING
Cape
The Vale disaster weighed heavily on the market for big ships, with uncertainty about shipments/future exports leading to a sharp drop in ...
Friday, 08 February 19
LOWER-QUALITY INDONESIA EXPORTS ROSE 39 MT IN 2018 YOY PRIMARILY IN RESPONSE TO INCREASED DEMAND FROM CHINA AND INDIA - PEABODY
"Underlying seaborne met and thermal coal conditions remain quite positive and the pace of U.S. coal-fueled power plant retirements is expecte ...
Thursday, 07 February 19
QATAR CAN GAIN FROM DECLINING COAL - THE PENINSULA
With North America and Europe closing down their old coal and nuclear plants, major gas exporters like Qatar can and should gain market share. With ...
Wednesday, 06 February 19
FEBRUARY 2019 INDONESIA'S COAL REFERENCE PRICE FELL 8.83 PERCENT YOY
COALspot.com: The Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources of the Republic of Indonesia has revised down again the benchmark price of Indonesian th ...
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- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- The University of Queensland
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Australian Coal Association
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Economic Council, Georgia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
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