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Sunday, 20 January 19
OIL MARKET REPORT: A MARATHON, NOT A SPRINT - IEA
 Last month, we asked if there was a floor under prices following the signing of a new Vienna Agreement that aims to re-balance the oil market. Following an initial burst of enthusiasm for the deal, scepticism set in, alongside worries about the global economic background. Prices fell by $10/bbl with Brent crude oil bottoming out on 24 December at just above $50/bbl. For the producers, this was unwelcome, but for consumers it provided a nice present for the holidays. In the US Gulf Coast, gasoline prices in early January averaged $1.89/gal versus the summer peak of $2.79/gal and in India, prices are about 14% below the early October peak. Recently, leading producers have restated their commitment to cut output and data show that words were transformed into actions. In December, OPEC production fell by almost 600 kb/d and Saudi Arabia has signalled that, for its part, further significant cutbacks will take place in January and beyond.
The Brent price has moved back above $60/bbl, so the answer to our question posed last month seems to be a qualified yes, at least for now. However, the journey to a balanced market will take time, and is more likely to be a marathon than a sprint. While Saudi Arabia is determined to protect its price aspirations by delivering substantial production cuts, there is less clarity with regard to its Russian partner. Data show that Russia increased crude oil production in December to a new record near 11.5 mb/d and it is unclear when it will cut and by how much. Other non-OPEC countries joining in the output deal saw higher output, including Mexico.
Elsewhere, there are signs that market re-balancing will be gradual. The trajectory of Iran’s production and exports remains important. In December, total exports increased slightly to over 1.3 mb/d. With US waivers allowing Iran’s major customers to buy higher volumes than was previously thought, more oil will remain in the market in the early part of 2019. Venezuela has seen the collapse of its oil industry slow during the second half of 2018 with production falling recently by about 10 kb/d each month rather than by the 40 kb/d we saw earlier in the year. The level of output in the world’s biggest liquids producer, the United States, will once again be a major factor in 2019. We saw incredible and unexpected growth in total liquids production of 2.1 mb/d in 2018. For this year, we have left unchanged for now our forecast for growth of 1.3 mb/d. While the other two giants voluntarily cut output, the US, already the biggest liquids supplier, will reinforce its leadership as the world’s number one crude producer. By the middle of the year, US crude output will probably be more than the capacity of either Saudi Arabia or Russia.
For oil demand, there is a mixed picture. Falling prices in 4Q18 helped consumers and there are signs that trade tensions might be easing. In many developing countries, lower international oil prices coincide with a weaker dollar as the likelihood of higher US interest rates fades for now. However, the mood music in the global economy is not very cheerful. Confidence is weakening in several major economies. In the short term, there is added uncertainty about oil demand due to the onset of the northern hemisphere winter season, with low temperatures seen in the past few days in many places. For now, we retain our view that demand growth in 2018 was 1.3 mb/d, and this year it will be slightly higher at 1.4 mb/d, mainly due to average prices being below year-ago levels.
In the meantime, refiners face a challenging year. Processing capacity will increase by 2.6 mb/d, the biggest growth for four decades, while margins are already pressured by low gasoline cracks due to oversupply and weak demand. The well-trailed changes to the International Maritime Organisation’s marine fuel regulations due in 2020 are another big issue for some refiners as they seek to find outlets for unwanted high sulphur fuel oil. By the end of the year, all industry players, upstream and downstream, may feel as if they have run a marathon.
Source: IEA
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Friday, 12 April 19
OFFSHORE MENA CONGRESS 2019
Offshore MENA Congress 2019
Event Date : 11-12th Jun. 2019
Location : Cairo, Egypt
Offshore MENA Congress 2019 Offshor ...
Friday, 12 April 19
U.S : MORE THAN 7 GW OF COAL-FIRED GENERATION IS SCHEDULED TO RETIRE BY THE END OF 2020 - EIA
EIA estimates that U.S. coal production decreased by 19 million short tons (MMst) (2%) in 2018, totaling 756 MMst.
EIA also expects ...
Friday, 12 April 19
GLENCORE WINS $520 MILLION DEAL TO SELL COAL TO MEXICO - REUTERS
Global trader Glencore has won contracts worth around $520 million to supply 4.94 million tonnes of coal to Mexico, state-run power utility the Fed ...
Thursday, 11 April 19
AUSTRALIAN COAL IN THE FRONTLINE OF CHINA'S SUPPLY GLUT - AUSTRALIAN FINANCIAL REVIEW
Australian coal will be hardest hit as China cuts foreign imports of its key energy source to tackle oversupply, and implements policies favouring ...
Wednesday, 10 April 19
COALTRANS ASIA - TAKE PART IN THE LARGEST COAL EVENT IN THE WORLD!
Take part in the largest coal event in the world!
Coaltrans Asia is back this June bringing together the entire international coal s ...
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- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- MS Steel International - UAE
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Parliament of New Zealand
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
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