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Tuesday, 08 January 19
GLOBAL TRADE GROWTH EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT HEALTHY IN 2019 - ALLIED
 2019 is here and we find ourselves with new challenges for the shipping industry and the global economy as whole, with market prospects being neither optimistic nor pessimistic according to most analysts, Yiannis Vamvakas Allied shipping’s Research Analyst said in his latest weekly report.
Economic shocks and unexpected events cannot be fully predicted, but let’s recap some key points being seen. With regards to economic growth expectations, figures remain positive for 2019, but according to most, growth will drift to lower levels than it did in 2018.
UBS forecasts a figure close to 3.6% for the global economic growth this year, 0.2% lower than the last year, due to tighter monetary policies and political challenges among the world’s major economies. He also further noted, the same trend is projected for the US from Goldman Sachs, reducing the US economy growth forecast for the first half of 2019 to 2% from 2.4% estimated earlier. Most analysts predict that a US recession risk is low for this year. Meanwhile, it is worth mentioning that elections are expected for several countries this year, including India, South Africa, Canada, Argentina and Greece, leaving the prospect of political shocks firm on the table.
Additionally, Brexit is planned to occur on March 29, with many aspects of the withdrawal agreement still remaining unclear. Meanwhile, trade tensions emerged this past year between China and the US, with several commodities being impacted. New chapters in this play are expected to be seen this year, with more tariffs being likely in several products after the March dead-line, though with discussions underway there is still hope that a deal can be struck. With regards to global trade agreements, an altered Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) was agreed between 11 countries (Australia, Brunei, Canada, Chile, Japan, Malaysia, Mexico, New Zealand, Peru, Singapore, Vietnam), despite the withdrawal of the US. The agreement will cut tariffs in several imports between the above-mentioned members. WE are also set to see a rise in the trade of agricultural imports from Canada and Australia to Japan, with the two hoping that they may gain market share from the US, said Yiannis Vamvakas.
Additionally, a new EU-Japan economic partnership agreement will commence from February, which will facilitate exports of Japan to the EU and vice versa.
In China, Yiannis Vamvakas said, there are several developments taking shape in terms of industrial production. Several industrial producers have already decided to increase their production levels within China in order to circumvent the tariffs introduced by the Chinese government on imports. On the other hand, Chinese producers may need to reshape their productions’ plans and add bigger volumes in other locations, avoiding tariffs on Chinese imports by the US. Vietnam and Indonesia may be the bigger winners of this shift.
Furthermore, 2018 was a turbulent year for oil. With oversupply concerns and possible geopolitical tensions still in play, volatility is expected to spill over into this year, but prices are predicted to follow an overall bullish trajectory. In mid-2019, waivers provided from the US to several countries with regards to importing oil from Iran are expected to expire, leaving a gap in the global oil trade. Moreover, it is interesting to see if the recent agreement among OPEC and non-OPEC producers to cut output will materialize and to what extent.
At the same time, we are waiting to see how prepared refineries are for IMO 2020, as the deadline draws ever closer. Uncertainty will continue to cloud the market and any decisions being made, but with global trade growth expected to remain at healthy levels this year, we should see further market improvement take place.
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Wednesday, 09 January 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INERMODAL
Paraphrasing the words of a Chief economist in a latest report of the World Bank Group, the current state of the shipping market very much resemble ...
Monday, 07 January 19
THE NEWCASTLE BENCHMARK SPOT PRICE IS FORECAST TO DECLINE FROM AN ESTIMATED AVERAGE OF US$105 A TONNE IN 2018 TO US$74 A TONNE IN 2020 - DEPARTMENT OF INDUSTRY, AUSTRALIA
• The Newcastle benchmark spot price is forecast to decline from an estimated average of US$105 a tonne in 2018 to US$74 a tonne in 2020, prim ...
Monday, 07 January 19
INDONESIAN GOVERNMENT DECLARED COAL BENCHMARK PRICE FALLS FOR FIFTH STRAIGHT MONTH IN JANUARY 2019; LOWEST SINCE JUNE 2018
COALspot.com: The Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources of the Republic of Indonesia has revised down again the benchmark price of Indonesian th ...
Monday, 07 January 19
RUSSIA'S COAL PRODUCTION UP 5.9% TO 433.4 MLN TONNES IN 2018 - TASS
Coal production in Russia in 2018 increased by 5.9% year-on-year to 433.4 mln tonnes, according to the Central Dispatching Department of Fuel Energ ...
Friday, 04 January 19
FOCUS IS ON BOOSTING COAL PRODUCTION: INDIAN COAL MINISTER
The current focus of the government is on boosting production from operational coal mines, according to Minister for Coal, Piyush Goyal.
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- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- The University of Queensland
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- VISA Power Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
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