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Tuesday, 08 January 19
GLOBAL TRADE GROWTH EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT HEALTHY IN 2019 - ALLIED
 2019 is here and we find ourselves with new challenges for the shipping industry and the global economy as whole, with market prospects being neither optimistic nor pessimistic according to most analysts, Yiannis Vamvakas Allied shipping’s Research Analyst said in his latest weekly report.
Economic shocks and unexpected events cannot be fully predicted, but let’s recap some key points being seen. With regards to economic growth expectations, figures remain positive for 2019, but according to most, growth will drift to lower levels than it did in 2018.
UBS forecasts a figure close to 3.6% for the global economic growth this year, 0.2% lower than the last year, due to tighter monetary policies and political challenges among the world’s major economies. He also further noted, the same trend is projected for the US from Goldman Sachs, reducing the US economy growth forecast for the first half of 2019 to 2% from 2.4% estimated earlier. Most analysts predict that a US recession risk is low for this year. Meanwhile, it is worth mentioning that elections are expected for several countries this year, including India, South Africa, Canada, Argentina and Greece, leaving the prospect of political shocks firm on the table.
Additionally, Brexit is planned to occur on March 29, with many aspects of the withdrawal agreement still remaining unclear. Meanwhile, trade tensions emerged this past year between China and the US, with several commodities being impacted. New chapters in this play are expected to be seen this year, with more tariffs being likely in several products after the March dead-line, though with discussions underway there is still hope that a deal can be struck. With regards to global trade agreements, an altered Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) was agreed between 11 countries (Australia, Brunei, Canada, Chile, Japan, Malaysia, Mexico, New Zealand, Peru, Singapore, Vietnam), despite the withdrawal of the US. The agreement will cut tariffs in several imports between the above-mentioned members. WE are also set to see a rise in the trade of agricultural imports from Canada and Australia to Japan, with the two hoping that they may gain market share from the US, said Yiannis Vamvakas.
Additionally, a new EU-Japan economic partnership agreement will commence from February, which will facilitate exports of Japan to the EU and vice versa.
In China, Yiannis Vamvakas said, there are several developments taking shape in terms of industrial production. Several industrial producers have already decided to increase their production levels within China in order to circumvent the tariffs introduced by the Chinese government on imports. On the other hand, Chinese producers may need to reshape their productions’ plans and add bigger volumes in other locations, avoiding tariffs on Chinese imports by the US. Vietnam and Indonesia may be the bigger winners of this shift.
Furthermore, 2018 was a turbulent year for oil. With oversupply concerns and possible geopolitical tensions still in play, volatility is expected to spill over into this year, but prices are predicted to follow an overall bullish trajectory. In mid-2019, waivers provided from the US to several countries with regards to importing oil from Iran are expected to expire, leaving a gap in the global oil trade. Moreover, it is interesting to see if the recent agreement among OPEC and non-OPEC producers to cut output will materialize and to what extent.
At the same time, we are waiting to see how prepared refineries are for IMO 2020, as the deadline draws ever closer. Uncertainty will continue to cloud the market and any decisions being made, but with global trade growth expected to remain at healthy levels this year, we should see further market improvement take place.
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Friday, 11 January 19
SUPRAMAX: THE ASIAN ARENA HAD A MIXED START; LIMITED ACTION IN SOUTHEAST ASIA - THE BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
Dashed hopes summed up the first full week of the New Year. A slow start followed by a busy 24 hours of improving rates and a firming ...
Thursday, 10 January 19
BUNKER DELIVERY NOTE AMENDMENTS ENTER INTO FORCE AS SULPHUR 2020 REQUIREMENT LOOMS - IMO
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Amendments to the bunker delivery note relating to the supply of marine fuel oil to ships which have fitted alternative m ...
Thursday, 10 January 19
WORLD TRADE IN THERMAL COAL IS ESTIMATED TO HAVE GROWN BY 1.0 PER CENT IN 2018 - DEPARTMENT OF INDUSTRY, AUSTRALIA
World Trade
World trade in thermal coal is estimated to have grown by 1.0 per cent to 1.1 billion tonnes in 2018 but it is expected to decline ...
Thursday, 10 January 19
PAKISTAN'S COAL IMPORTS TO SURGE TO 30 MILLION TONS PER ANNUM BY 2020 - CEO, PIB
Pakistan’s coal imports are estimated to surge to 30 million tons/annum from existing 20 million tons/annum by the year 2020, given the plann ...
Wednesday, 09 January 19
PANAMAX: THE PACIFIC SAW RELATIVELY GOOD DEMAND PARTICULARLY FROM INDONESIA AND NOPAC - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
It was an active start to the New Year, with trading from West Australia maintaining momentum during the holiday period. Rates for Chi ...
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- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- The University of Queensland
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Planning Commission, India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Australian Coal Association
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
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