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Tuesday, 08 January 19
GLOBAL TRADE GROWTH EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT HEALTHY IN 2019 - ALLIED
 2019 is here and we find ourselves with new challenges for the shipping industry and the global economy as whole, with market prospects being neither optimistic nor pessimistic according to most analysts, Yiannis Vamvakas Allied shipping’s Research Analyst said in his latest weekly report.
Economic shocks and unexpected events cannot be fully predicted, but let’s recap some key points being seen. With regards to economic growth expectations, figures remain positive for 2019, but according to most, growth will drift to lower levels than it did in 2018.
UBS forecasts a figure close to 3.6% for the global economic growth this year, 0.2% lower than the last year, due to tighter monetary policies and political challenges among the world’s major economies. He also further noted, the same trend is projected for the US from Goldman Sachs, reducing the US economy growth forecast for the first half of 2019 to 2% from 2.4% estimated earlier. Most analysts predict that a US recession risk is low for this year. Meanwhile, it is worth mentioning that elections are expected for several countries this year, including India, South Africa, Canada, Argentina and Greece, leaving the prospect of political shocks firm on the table.
Additionally, Brexit is planned to occur on March 29, with many aspects of the withdrawal agreement still remaining unclear. Meanwhile, trade tensions emerged this past year between China and the US, with several commodities being impacted. New chapters in this play are expected to be seen this year, with more tariffs being likely in several products after the March dead-line, though with discussions underway there is still hope that a deal can be struck. With regards to global trade agreements, an altered Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) was agreed between 11 countries (Australia, Brunei, Canada, Chile, Japan, Malaysia, Mexico, New Zealand, Peru, Singapore, Vietnam), despite the withdrawal of the US. The agreement will cut tariffs in several imports between the above-mentioned members. WE are also set to see a rise in the trade of agricultural imports from Canada and Australia to Japan, with the two hoping that they may gain market share from the US, said Yiannis Vamvakas.
Additionally, a new EU-Japan economic partnership agreement will commence from February, which will facilitate exports of Japan to the EU and vice versa.
In China, Yiannis Vamvakas said, there are several developments taking shape in terms of industrial production. Several industrial producers have already decided to increase their production levels within China in order to circumvent the tariffs introduced by the Chinese government on imports. On the other hand, Chinese producers may need to reshape their productions’ plans and add bigger volumes in other locations, avoiding tariffs on Chinese imports by the US. Vietnam and Indonesia may be the bigger winners of this shift.
Furthermore, 2018 was a turbulent year for oil. With oversupply concerns and possible geopolitical tensions still in play, volatility is expected to spill over into this year, but prices are predicted to follow an overall bullish trajectory. In mid-2019, waivers provided from the US to several countries with regards to importing oil from Iran are expected to expire, leaving a gap in the global oil trade. Moreover, it is interesting to see if the recent agreement among OPEC and non-OPEC producers to cut output will materialize and to what extent.
At the same time, we are waiting to see how prepared refineries are for IMO 2020, as the deadline draws ever closer. Uncertainty will continue to cloud the market and any decisions being made, but with global trade growth expected to remain at healthy levels this year, we should see further market improvement take place.
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Sunday, 20 January 19
OIL MARKET REPORT: A MARATHON, NOT A SPRINT - IEA
Last month, we asked if there was a floor under prices following the signing of a new Vienna Agreement that aims to re-balance the oil market. Foll ...
Thursday, 17 January 19
EIA ESTIMATES THAT U.S. COAL EXPORTS WERE 116 MMST IN 2018, 20% HIGHER THAN THE AMOUNT EXPORTED IN 2017
Coal Supply
EIA estimates that coal production declined by 20 million short tons (MMst) (3%) in 2018, despite a 19 MMst increase in U.S. coal e ...
Thursday, 17 January 19
U.S COAL OUTPUT IS EXPECTED TO FALL BY 3 PER CENT IN 2019 - EIA
EIA forecasts that U.S. coal production will total 729 million short tons (MMst) in 2019, down by 25 MMst (3%) from 2018.
Acco ...
Wednesday, 16 January 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
As we go through the first days of the year and just a few weeks before the Chinese New Year, the ship repair sector is witnessing a big difference ...
Monday, 14 January 19
KOREA SOUTHERN POWER INVITES BIDS FOR 320,000 MT OF MIN 3,800 NCV COAL
COALspot.com: South Korea state-owned utility Korea Southern Power Co. Ltd (KOSPO) issued a tender for 320,000 MT of min 3,800 kcal/kg NCV coal for ...
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- Minerals Council of Australia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Australian Coal Association
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- White Energy Company Limited
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