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Friday, 06 July 18
COAL PRICES HAVE REMAINED STRONG BUT ARE SET TO DECLINE - NAB
 Coal spot prices have been highly volatile in recent years, with an upward trend since recent lows in April 2018, National Australia Bank says in its latest Mineral & Energy outlook.
NAB further sais, Hard coking coal prices rose above US$200 a tonne in mid- June (due to port and rail maintenance issues), while thermal coal prices pushed above US$110 a tonne (the highest level since early 2012). Spot prices for thermal coal may become increasingly important – given the breakdown of the traditional Japanese financial year contract mechanism, with Tohoku Electric Power Co pulling out of negotiations with miner Glencore (the two parties who negotiate the agreement).
According to NAB economists, Asia is the key region for seaborne coal demand – with China, India, Japan and South Korea accounting for almost 60% of global imports in 2017. The growth potential of the latter two is somewhat limited longer term (given the mature nature of their economies), while rapidly growing India is increasing its domestic supply, aiming to develop self-sufficiency in coal supply.
China’s coal import trends have been mixed in 2018. NAB noted that, in the first five months, imports of metallurgical coal fell sharply – down 25% to 22.6 million tonnes, while thermal coal imports rose by 20% to 97.4 million tonnes. In a large part the latter reflected a particularly cold winter (boosting demand across January through March) and poor availability of natural gas.
Short term supply issues have impacted coal markets in recent years – particularly hard coking coal exports from Queensland. A dispute between the privately owned rail operator and the Queensland Competition Authority regarding its regulated maximum allowable revenue between 2017 and 2021 could limit the state’s coal exports in coming years – adding some upside risk to our price forecasts, the report says.
Australia’s total coal exports have increased strongly in the first four months of 2018 – albeit this reflects the recovery from Tropical Cyclone Debbie that severely disrupted metallurgical coal exports in April 2017. Thermal coal volumes rose by 0.8% yoy to 64.8 million tonnes, while metallurgical coal exports rose by 13% yoy to 55.6 million tonnes. That said, metallurgical coal exports remain well below the levels recorded in the first four months of 2014 through 2016.
Coal prices are expected to ease from current levels – as a softening China’s steel sector reduces coking coal demand and supply side concerns ease. We expect hard coking coal prices to average US$186 a tonne in 2018, a decrease of almost 15% (reflecting impact of supply shortfalls in 2017). In contrast, average thermal coal prices are forecast to increase by 12% to US$98 a tonne, the report says.
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Thursday, 23 September 21
RECORD-HIGH GAS PRICES AFFECT MANY EUROPEAN CORPORATE SECTORS - FITCH RATINGS
Record-high natural gas prices are putting pressure on supply chains of many European corporate sectors, including non-integrated energy suppliers, ...
Wednesday, 22 September 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
The unfolding last week of a trilateral defence pact between the United States, Australia, the United Kingdom (AUKUS) envisages a wide range of col ...
Tuesday, 21 September 21
CHINESE COAL IMPORTS FROM AUSTRALIA DROP 98.6% AS RESTRICTIONS BITE - BIMCO
In the first seven months of the year Chinese coal imports from Australia have totalled just 780,000 tonnes as Chinese restrictions on Australian c ...
Tuesday, 21 September 21
CHINA'S COAL OUTPUT RESUMES GROWTH IN AUGUST - XINHUA
China’s raw coal output rose 0.8 percent year on year to 340 million tonnes last month, official data showed.
The growth rate ...
Wednesday, 15 September 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Following the oil price sell off during most of August, partly triggered by oil demand fears amid the delta COVID variant, oil prices have resumed ...
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- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
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