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Friday, 06 July 18
COAL PRICES HAVE REMAINED STRONG BUT ARE SET TO DECLINE - NAB
 Coal spot prices have been highly volatile in recent years, with an upward trend since recent lows in April 2018, National Australia Bank says in its latest Mineral & Energy outlook.
NAB further sais, Hard coking coal prices rose above US$200 a tonne in mid- June (due to port and rail maintenance issues), while thermal coal prices pushed above US$110 a tonne (the highest level since early 2012). Spot prices for thermal coal may become increasingly important – given the breakdown of the traditional Japanese financial year contract mechanism, with Tohoku Electric Power Co pulling out of negotiations with miner Glencore (the two parties who negotiate the agreement).
According to NAB economists, Asia is the key region for seaborne coal demand – with China, India, Japan and South Korea accounting for almost 60% of global imports in 2017. The growth potential of the latter two is somewhat limited longer term (given the mature nature of their economies), while rapidly growing India is increasing its domestic supply, aiming to develop self-sufficiency in coal supply.
China’s coal import trends have been mixed in 2018. NAB noted that, in the first five months, imports of metallurgical coal fell sharply – down 25% to 22.6 million tonnes, while thermal coal imports rose by 20% to 97.4 million tonnes. In a large part the latter reflected a particularly cold winter (boosting demand across January through March) and poor availability of natural gas.
Short term supply issues have impacted coal markets in recent years – particularly hard coking coal exports from Queensland. A dispute between the privately owned rail operator and the Queensland Competition Authority regarding its regulated maximum allowable revenue between 2017 and 2021 could limit the state’s coal exports in coming years – adding some upside risk to our price forecasts, the report says.
Australia’s total coal exports have increased strongly in the first four months of 2018 – albeit this reflects the recovery from Tropical Cyclone Debbie that severely disrupted metallurgical coal exports in April 2017. Thermal coal volumes rose by 0.8% yoy to 64.8 million tonnes, while metallurgical coal exports rose by 13% yoy to 55.6 million tonnes. That said, metallurgical coal exports remain well below the levels recorded in the first four months of 2014 through 2016.
Coal prices are expected to ease from current levels – as a softening China’s steel sector reduces coking coal demand and supply side concerns ease. We expect hard coking coal prices to average US$186 a tonne in 2018, a decrease of almost 15% (reflecting impact of supply shortfalls in 2017). In contrast, average thermal coal prices are forecast to increase by 12% to US$98 a tonne, the report says.
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Saturday, 11 September 21
CIL STEPS UP SUPPLY COAL TO POWER SECTOR; PER-DAY AVERAGE 20 PC HIGHER THAN LAST YEAR - PTI
State-owned CIL on Friday said it has stepped up the supply of coal to the power sector in the first eight days of the current month, with an avera ...
Saturday, 11 September 21
RECORD CHINESE COAL FUTURES SIGNAL NEED TO BOOST OUTPUT - REUTERS
China’s coal prices have climbed to a record high, signaling the need for more production in the short term, even as the government tries to ...
Saturday, 11 September 21
IN 2022, EIA EXPECTS U.S. COAL PRODUCTION TO INCREASE BY 47 MMST TO 648 MMST
U.S. Coal production accordng to EIA's forecast, totals 601 million short tons (MMst) in 2021, 66 MMst more than in 2020, EIA's Short-Term ...
Wednesday, 08 September 21
FITCH RATINGS RAISES THERMAL COAL PRICE ASSUMPTIONS ON TIGHT SUPPLY
Fitch Ratings has increased all its Qinhuangdao 5,500kcal/kg price assumptions and short- and medium-term Newcastle 6,000kcal/kg price assumptions ...
Wednesday, 08 September 21
COAL IS STILL KING; INDONESIAN COAL PRICE REFERENCE ABOVE $150 FOR FIRST TIME IN HISTORY
COALspot.com: The Indonesian Coal Price Reference rose dramatically from US$ 127.05 in February 2011, to a peak of US$ 150.03 in September 2021, be ...
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- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Planning Commission, India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
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