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Friday, 06 July 18
COAL PRICES HAVE REMAINED STRONG BUT ARE SET TO DECLINE - NAB
 Coal spot prices have been highly volatile in recent years, with an upward trend since recent lows in April 2018, National Australia Bank says in its latest Mineral & Energy outlook.
NAB further sais, Hard coking coal prices rose above US$200 a tonne in mid- June (due to port and rail maintenance issues), while thermal coal prices pushed above US$110 a tonne (the highest level since early 2012). Spot prices for thermal coal may become increasingly important – given the breakdown of the traditional Japanese financial year contract mechanism, with Tohoku Electric Power Co pulling out of negotiations with miner Glencore (the two parties who negotiate the agreement).
According to NAB economists, Asia is the key region for seaborne coal demand – with China, India, Japan and South Korea accounting for almost 60% of global imports in 2017. The growth potential of the latter two is somewhat limited longer term (given the mature nature of their economies), while rapidly growing India is increasing its domestic supply, aiming to develop self-sufficiency in coal supply.
China’s coal import trends have been mixed in 2018. NAB noted that, in the first five months, imports of metallurgical coal fell sharply – down 25% to 22.6 million tonnes, while thermal coal imports rose by 20% to 97.4 million tonnes. In a large part the latter reflected a particularly cold winter (boosting demand across January through March) and poor availability of natural gas.
Short term supply issues have impacted coal markets in recent years – particularly hard coking coal exports from Queensland. A dispute between the privately owned rail operator and the Queensland Competition Authority regarding its regulated maximum allowable revenue between 2017 and 2021 could limit the state’s coal exports in coming years – adding some upside risk to our price forecasts, the report says.
Australia’s total coal exports have increased strongly in the first four months of 2018 – albeit this reflects the recovery from Tropical Cyclone Debbie that severely disrupted metallurgical coal exports in April 2017. Thermal coal volumes rose by 0.8% yoy to 64.8 million tonnes, while metallurgical coal exports rose by 13% yoy to 55.6 million tonnes. That said, metallurgical coal exports remain well below the levels recorded in the first four months of 2014 through 2016.
Coal prices are expected to ease from current levels – as a softening China’s steel sector reduces coking coal demand and supply side concerns ease. We expect hard coking coal prices to average US$186 a tonne in 2018, a decrease of almost 15% (reflecting impact of supply shortfalls in 2017). In contrast, average thermal coal prices are forecast to increase by 12% to US$98 a tonne, the report says.
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Wednesday, 06 October 21
EUROPEAN COAL FUTURES CLIMB TO 13-YEAR PEAK - REUTERS
European coal futures rose to a 13-year high and physical thermal coal prices were at record highs as rallying gas prices and strong Asian demand f ...
Tuesday, 05 October 21
CAPESIZE MARKET WAS IN A STEEP CLIMB FOR MOST OF THIS WEEK - BALTIC EXCHANGE
Capesize
The Capesize market was in a steep climb for most of this week as it reached a pinnacle of $74,786 Wednesday before stalling, regather ...
Wednesday, 29 September 21
THE WRITING IS ON THE WALL: AUSTRALIA’S COAL ERA IS OVER - YAHOO!FINANCE
As the fringe of Australian politics strives to pump up the coal industry, facts show that coal production has started its long run decline.
&n ...
Wednesday, 29 September 21
SURGING COAL PRICES SPLIT ASIAN BUYERS INTO RICH AND POOR - REUTERS
As seaborne coal in Asia trades at, or near, record highs, there are early signs of demand destruction, especially among price-sensitive buyers suc ...
Wednesday, 29 September 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Tanker Asset values have surprised to the upside, despite the downward pressure on the freight market. Tanker rates have been hovering close to the ...
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- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- VISA Power Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- White Energy Company Limited
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Minerals Council of Australia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
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