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Wednesday, 01 March 17
2017 IS LOOKING LIKE IT WILL BE A GOOD YEAR FOR A NUMBER OF COMMODITIES - LINOS KOGEVINAS
 2017 is looking like it will be a good year for a number of commodities. Following the price recovery witnessed in 2016 across a number of commodities, the price of iron ore, zinc, copper, oil and natural gas appears poised to continue its upward trend.
Specifically, industrial metals were some of the largest winners of 2016 and this trend has continued in 2017 so far. Iron ore was the foremost gainer making a strong recovery from the lows of a disastrous 2015, with prices reaching USD82.4/tonne in December.
The climb has continued in 2017 with yesterday’s (27/02) price closing in excess of USD 87 /tonne, a far cry from 2015’s levels. While iron ore and steel futures did exhibit a slow-down last week, they jumped again on Monday by ~4% signalling the bullishness of the market. The latest 4-month rally has left a positive impression on market players, with mining giants such as Vale or BHP expecting a very strong year.
In any discussion regarding iron ore, it is important to take a look at the most influential nation in this market, China. While there has been some anxiety regarding China’s increasing production in 2017 (expected to increase by 0.5%, up to 825m metric tonnes), it is also important to note the increase in domestic demand, as China is expected to consume approx. 87% of this production.
Iron ore tends to follow Chinese steelmaking trends and the increase in infrastructure projects has driven up demand for steel, with Shanghai rebar hitting its highest price since February 2014. As China continues to provide support to the construction sector mainly through partnerships with private sector businesses on public infrastructure projects, this interior demand is expected to hold up for the rest of the year as well. This coupled with expected steel production limitations in 2017 leads to strong price expectations.
One variable to look at in 2017 is Trump’s alleged US infrastructure plan. While we have seen infrastructure spending affecting metal prices before, at this point there are not enough specifics to be able to draw a conclusion on whether this would provide any significant uptick on industrial metal prices or if indeed the promise itself will be materialized. It is worth noting that the 2009 US stimulus package which saw ~105bn going to infrastructure spending failed to produce a significant net effect on copper or steel prices.
While optimism continues to abound in most circles, various analysts are questioning whether this rally will be sustainable in the mid-long term with many of them expecting a softening of prices in the second half of 2017 due to the increase in Australian and Brazilian production.
In any case, this sustainable demand has had a noticeable effect on shipping markets and especially the Capesize segment, with today’s earnings quoted in excess of USD 8,000/day compared to the same time last year when average earnings for the size were hovering at around USD 2,300/day.
By Linos Kogevinas
Commercial Executive, Cotzias Intermodal Shipping Inc.
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 10 March 17
ESTIMATED U.S. COAL PRODUCTION ALMOST FLAT WEEK ENDED MARCH 4, SAYS EIA
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totalled an estimated 15.7 million short ton ...
Friday, 10 March 17
THE 5TH PHILIPPINES POWER AND ELECTRICITY WEEK RETURNS WITH A UNIQUE FOCUS IN 2017
5th Annual Philippines Power & Electricity
18-21 July 2017
Solaire Resort & Casino,Manila, Philippines
http://www.philippinespowe ...
Thursday, 09 March 17
INDONESIAN COAL BENCHMARK PRICE DROPPED FOR A THIRD STRAIGHT MONTH IN MARCH, GOVERNMENT DATA SHOWED
COALspot.com: Indonesian government declared coal benchmark price dropped for a fourth straight month in March, government data showed. The ...
Wednesday, 08 March 17
THE FREIGHT MARKET TODAY PROVIDES MUCH MORE CONFIDENCE COMPARED TO LAST YEAR - TIMOS PAPADIMITRIOU
So what's all the fuss about? During the past five months SnP activity has being surging exponentially in the dry bulk sector. Buyers are looki ...
Monday, 06 March 17
THE FREIGHT MARKET WAS CONTINUING TO FIRM UP THIS PAST WEEK
COALspot.com: The Freight market was continuing to firm up this past week.
The Baltic Exchange, tracking rates for ships carrying dry bulk com ...
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- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Planning Commission, India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
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