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Thursday, 28 July 16
FITCH RAISES CORPORATE OIL PRICE ASSUMPTION FOR 2016 TO USD42
 Fitch Ratings has raised the 2016 oil price assumptions it uses when rating energy-sector corporates, but expects record high inventories to slow any further price increases.
We assume Brent and WTI will average USD42 a barrel in 2016, up from our USD35/bbl base case in February. The increase follows evidence that the market will come into balance in the second half of 2016, which has already been reflected in a year-to-date average price of USD41/40 for Brent/WTI.
However, we do not believe that the rapid price recovery seen in the first half of 2016 will continue. The sub-USD30 prices at the start of the year approached cash costs for many producers and were unsustainable in all but the very short term. Prices in the USD40-USD50 range allow most producers to break even on a cash basis, if not to cover sunk costs.
We believe that record high inventories - OECD stocks are still more than 10% higher than normal - and market expectations that US shale production will begin to rebound at prices above USD50, will keep prices below that level until a supply deficit has eroded some of the inventory overhang.
We have therefore left our 2017 and 2018 price assumptions unchanged at USD45 and USD55 respectively. Our long-term expectations for both Brent and WTI are unchanged at USD65, reflecting our view on the long-run marginal cost of supply.
Our natural gas expectations have also changed, with price assumptions for US Henry Hub rising and UK National Balancing Point (NBP) falling. In the US, the market has begun to work through the excess inventory build-up associated with last year's El Nino winter. Slower production growth in key shale plays has also helped. For NBP, increased US gas exports have contributed to a medium-term LNG glut, which we expect to put pressure on international spot prices.
Our Henry Hub price assumptions are USD2.35/mcf in 2016, rising to USD2.75 in 2017, USD3.00 in 2018 and USD3.25 in the long term. For NBP we assume a price of USD5.00/mcf for 2016, USD5.50 in 2017, USD6.00 in 2018 and USD6.50 in the long term.
Source: Fitch Ratings
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Monday, 08 August 16
THE TURKISH GOVERNMENT HAS IMPOSED A $15 A TON DUTY ON POWER PLANT COAL IMPORTS - MEDIA
COALspot.com: The Turkish government has imposed a US$15 per ton duty on thermal coal imports for use in its power sector.
According to media ...
Monday, 08 August 16
THE BALTIC EXCHANGE, TRACKING RATES FOR SHIPS CARRYING DRY BULK COMMODITIES SLIDE SLIGHTLY
COALspot.com: The Baltic Exchange, tracking rates for ships carrying dry bulk commodities slide slightly as Panamax and Supramax segments ending in ...
Monday, 08 August 16
ARE EXPENSES INCURRED DURING NEGOTIATION OF A PIRATE RANSOM RECOVERABLE IN GENERAL AVERAGE? - CLYDE&CO
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Facts
The laden chemical tanker LONGCHAMP was transiting the Gulf of Aden on passage to Vietnam. The ship was subject t ...
Saturday, 06 August 16
DRY BULK SHIPPING CHARTER RATES TO RISE ON UNEXPECTED DEMAND GROWTH - DREWRY
Increasing trade and contracting supply will support a recovery in charter rates on major dry bulk shipping routes, with the prospect of China impo ...
Friday, 05 August 16
WEEKLY U.S. COAL OUTPUT TOTALED AN ESTIMATED 16.1 MMST IN THE WEEK ENDED JULY 30 - EIA
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers has produced approximately totalled an estimated 16.1 million short tons ...
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- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Australian Coal Association
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
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