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Tuesday, 05 July 16
DRY BULK SHIPPING'S RECOVERY NOT SEEN UNTIL 2018 - SGX
 SGX freight derivative volumes totaled 36,542 contracts in June (-28% m/m; +52% y/y), while open interest averaged 121,189 contracts during the month (-1% m/m; +222% y/y).
The Baltic Dry Index ended June up 8%, driven by stronger chartering activity for larger vessel classes towards month-end. Forward curves imply near-term upside to Cape rates, though a relatively muted outlook for other vessel classes.
Stronger iron ore shipments and optimism over Chinese coal output restrictions, in turn spurring higher import demand, have provided some near-term support. Sustainability is in question though. Our latest industry survey suggests caution clearly persists, with surveyed participants becoming moderately more bearish on the timeline of dry bulk freight supply-demand rebalancing over the past six months.
SGX Freight Derivatives
Freight volumes in June totaled 36,542 contracts (-28% m/m; +52% y/y), while open interest averaged 121,189 contracts (-1% m/m; +222% y/y). Futures comprised 98% of total swaps/futures volume during the period.
BDI creeps higher in June; volatility muted
The Baltic Dry Index (BDI) ended the month up 8% in June, with relative stability across the board before rates rose into month-end on stronger chartering activity. Capesize rates closed June 17% higher, while Panamax rates rose 15%. Among smaller vessels, Supramax and Handysize rates ended the month up 7% and down 3%, respectively. In the Capesize market in particular, volatility dropped to uncharacteristically low levels.
Forward expectations rose across the board in June, with the front end of the time charter forward curves (2016 contract months) all rising over 10%, while the near months in the Panamax and Supramax forward curves rose 19.5% and 18.3% respectively during June. Looking ahead, the forward curves imply strong upside for Capesize rates in the months ahead, while other vessel classes are expected to remain largely steady. The spot Cape/Panamax ratio closed June broadly unchanged at 1.50x, versus 1.49x a month ago (LTM avg.: 1.41x), remaining moderately above its last-twelve-month average.
Freight rates rise into month-end, industry remains cautious on market fundamentals
Following relative stability for much of the month, freight rates ticked higher into month-end on stronger chartering activity. In the coal market, domestic Chinese output restrictions and the resulting rise in unit costs have been spurring some optimism of stronger seaborne coal demand. In the iron ore market, Brazilian iron ore exports have notably been sequentially higher in Q3 (versus Q2) in all of the past ten years. That said, our latest industry survey indicates views have become moderately more cautious on the timing of a sustainable market rebalancing in the dry bulk freight market, with few anticipating a meaningful improvement in the supply -demand balance until 2018 at the earliest, and about a quarter of respondents not anticipating this until after 2020. Our survey also indicated a consensus view of between 0-3% global net dry bulk fleet growth this year.
Across key dry bulk commodities, iron ore stockpiles at Chinese ports increased in June, continuing their general and sustained uptrend since early Q4 2015. Iron ore prices on average declined 5.7% m/m in June, though broke out higher towards month-end on a sentiment-driven rise in Chinese steel prices. Thermal coal inventory at Chinese ports on the other hand declined through June, while seaborne prices ended the month around a year-to-date high. Domestic Chinese output restrictions and higher unit costs have spurred optimism over stronger import demand in the coming months.
Source: SGX | Hellenic Shipping News
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Wednesday, 06 July 16
KOMIPO INVITES BIDS FOR 780000 MT OF BITUMINOUS COAL
COALspot.com: South Korea state-owned utility Korea Midland Power (KOMIPO) issued a new tender for 780,000 Metric Tons of Bituminous Coal for its B ...
Wednesday, 06 July 16
MARKET INSIGHT - VASSILIS VASSILIOU
After a fairly silent first half of the year in the ship repair sector, we have finally a harmonized workload in the shipyards around the world. Ma ...
Tuesday, 05 July 16
SPOT COAL INDEXES FOR INDONESIAN COAL CONTINUE TO HOLD FIRM - CS COAL INDEX
COALspot.com: Average 5000 GAR coal index of Indonesian origin was up by 0.83 percent week over week to averaging $39.98 per ton this past week, sh ...
Monday, 04 July 16
INDONESIA COAL PRICE REFERENCE CLIMBED 2.30% IN JULY
COALspot.com: The Indonesia Coal Benchmark Price increased in July 2016.
The Director General of Mineral and Coal of Indonesia, the r ...
Monday, 04 July 16
BDI ROSE ON STRONGER DEMAND ACROSS ALL VESSEL SEGMENTS
COALspot.com: The Baltic Exchange, tracking rates for ships carrying dry bulk commodities rose this past week. The BDI was up 11.16 percent from la ...
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- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- The University of Queensland
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Planning Commission, India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Australian Coal Association
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- White Energy Company Limited
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
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