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Wednesday, 02 March 16
OIL MY GOD.....!!!!
 OIL my GOD….!!!!
The oil price “crash” that started in 2014 was caused by a glut of practically unwanted oil. Producers had been providing the world with about 2million barrels a day more than what demand supported.
Today oil is trading at its 12 year low, 70% down today since mid-2014. Low oil prices might be welcome by consumers and businesses, but economies, financial markets, oil and gas producers, are not on the same side of the table. We feel the need to focus on the present OPEC talks about a possible cut back in production so to lift prices off the low levels of today. Last week, Saudi Arabia and Russia the world’s biggest oil producers joined Venezuela, Kuwait and Qatar in an agreement to cap output. As per talks, all countries agree to cut back their respective production, with the prerequisite that this will be a unanimous decision by all.
It is very uncertain if Iran would participate in such decision, as finally being in a post-sanctions era, the country will try to regain market share and that will surely involve growing production. True expectation from this action is to find a better equilibrium and to match supply with demand as today supply still exceeds demand and record global oil stockpiles continue to mount. A production freeze would not create an immediate price shock, however if an agreement comes into place soon, we should see oil prices correcting upwards sometime in the 2nd half of this year.
Moving on to our industry, it is no secret that tankers have been enjoying great rates because of increased oil demand, while they have been also benefiting from low bunker prices. Bulkers, despite suffering severely due to low freights, have pretty much found a lifejacket in the form of low bunker costs, although –something that is not often said - slow steaming is no longer slow, which in itself has been weighing down on rates.
Although the effects of low oil prices on both tankers and bulkers have been widely discussed, little has been said for the positive effects that the Passenger and Ro-Pax sectors have been enjoying. About two years ago, bunker expenses where accounting for more than 65% of their voyage operating costs. Today that bunkers have been reduced by 70%, these costs represent about 20% of the present voyage costs.
Needless to say that currently and without taking into consideration any increase in demand for their services nor any increase in car/truck and passenger traffic, these ships have had a significant improvement in their generated net profits. On top of that, there is a lack of tonnage available particularly in the 110-130m LOA size and also in the 2,000-2,500 passenger capacity and 2,000-3,000 lane meter garage space. Not many ships were built post 2000 as prevailing bunker prices then made operation of these ships marginally profitable or non-profitable at all. Values of existing ships have increased, as the cash flow generated is attractive and lacking any replacement candidates.
To put it simply; the cost of replacement is practically the cost of building a new ship! All these factors have boomed the Ro-Pax business both domestically here in Greece as well as internationally and the prospects for this niche market seem very positive for the future times ahead. Interest is there to invest and also to build new ships based on LNG fueled and other innovative ship design developments.
By John N. Cotzias
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Wednesday, 17 February 16
THE OWNERS FACING HISTORICAL LOW DRY BULK RATES; COAL IMPORTS TO CHINA IS STILL POINTING TO A STRONG TREND OF DECLINING CONSUMPTION
The sharp fall in dry bulk rates that has been taking place since the end of last year and has left owners facing historical low rates for a substa ...
Monday, 15 February 16
CALL THE DOCTOR! SHIPPING'S MEDICAL DRAMA UNFOLDS......- CLARKSONS
The recycling market has started 2016 with a bang, with a huge volume of tonnage heading to demolition facilities. Many of the key shipping markets ...
Monday, 15 February 16
CS 42 COAL INDEX ROSE 0.07% WEEK OVER WEEK
COALspot.com: Average 5000 GAR coal index of Indonesian origin decline 0.15 percent week over week to averaging $38.96 per ton on this past Friday, ...
Monday, 15 February 16
BALTIC INDEX MARGINALLY ROSE BY A POINT D-D; CAPESIZE INDEX DOWN 13 POINTS W-W; PANAMAX INDEX UP 29 POINTS W-W
COALspot.com: The freight markets continued to fall this past week.
The BDI, The Baltic Dry Index (BDI) of dry-bulk shipping freights, a measu ...
Friday, 12 February 16
DRY BULK MARKET'S FORTUNES STILL TIED WITH CHINA'S ECONOMY - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The inevitable slowdown of the Chinese economy was expected to hurt dry bulk shipping, but few expected the blow to be this hard, especially given ...
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- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- White Energy Company Limited
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Parliament of New Zealand
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Australian Coal Association
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
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