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Wednesday, 02 March 16
OIL MY GOD.....!!!!
 OIL my GOD….!!!!
The oil price “crash” that started in 2014 was caused by a glut of practically unwanted oil. Producers had been providing the world with about 2million barrels a day more than what demand supported.
Today oil is trading at its 12 year low, 70% down today since mid-2014. Low oil prices might be welcome by consumers and businesses, but economies, financial markets, oil and gas producers, are not on the same side of the table. We feel the need to focus on the present OPEC talks about a possible cut back in production so to lift prices off the low levels of today. Last week, Saudi Arabia and Russia the world’s biggest oil producers joined Venezuela, Kuwait and Qatar in an agreement to cap output. As per talks, all countries agree to cut back their respective production, with the prerequisite that this will be a unanimous decision by all.
It is very uncertain if Iran would participate in such decision, as finally being in a post-sanctions era, the country will try to regain market share and that will surely involve growing production. True expectation from this action is to find a better equilibrium and to match supply with demand as today supply still exceeds demand and record global oil stockpiles continue to mount. A production freeze would not create an immediate price shock, however if an agreement comes into place soon, we should see oil prices correcting upwards sometime in the 2nd half of this year.
Moving on to our industry, it is no secret that tankers have been enjoying great rates because of increased oil demand, while they have been also benefiting from low bunker prices. Bulkers, despite suffering severely due to low freights, have pretty much found a lifejacket in the form of low bunker costs, although –something that is not often said - slow steaming is no longer slow, which in itself has been weighing down on rates.
Although the effects of low oil prices on both tankers and bulkers have been widely discussed, little has been said for the positive effects that the Passenger and Ro-Pax sectors have been enjoying. About two years ago, bunker expenses where accounting for more than 65% of their voyage operating costs. Today that bunkers have been reduced by 70%, these costs represent about 20% of the present voyage costs.
Needless to say that currently and without taking into consideration any increase in demand for their services nor any increase in car/truck and passenger traffic, these ships have had a significant improvement in their generated net profits. On top of that, there is a lack of tonnage available particularly in the 110-130m LOA size and also in the 2,000-2,500 passenger capacity and 2,000-3,000 lane meter garage space. Not many ships were built post 2000 as prevailing bunker prices then made operation of these ships marginally profitable or non-profitable at all. Values of existing ships have increased, as the cash flow generated is attractive and lacking any replacement candidates.
To put it simply; the cost of replacement is practically the cost of building a new ship! All these factors have boomed the Ro-Pax business both domestically here in Greece as well as internationally and the prospects for this niche market seem very positive for the future times ahead. Interest is there to invest and also to build new ships based on LNG fueled and other innovative ship design developments.
By John N. Cotzias
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 24 February 16
PRIVATE EQUITY FUNDS LOOKING TO EXIT SHIPPING, MOST NOTABLY DRY BULK, AS OVERORDERING HAS RESULTED IN EXCESS TONNAGE - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The injection of more than $13 billion in shipping from various private equity funds over the past few years has resulted in what many feared would ...
Wednesday, 24 February 16
THIRTEEN - NOT ALWAYS AN UNLUCKY NUMBER? - CLARKSONS
Back in early 1999 the price of a 5 year old Panamax bulkcarrier dipped to $13.5m, and ever since analysts have hailed purchase decisions made at t ...
Monday, 22 February 16
4200 GAR COAL INDEX SETTLES AT $27.02, DOWN 0.07% FROM LAST WEEK
COALspot.com: Average 5000 GAR coal index of Indonesian origin decline 0.17 percent week over week to averaging $38.89 per ton on this past Friday, ...
Monday, 22 February 16
FREIGHT MARKETS PICKED UP SLIGHTLY THIS PAST WEEK
COALspot.com: The freight markets picked up slightly this past week.
The Baltic Dry Index (BDI) of dry-bulk shipping freights, a measure of gl ...
Friday, 19 February 16
INDONESIAN HBA HITS A NEW LOWS BELOW $51 A TON AS OVERSUPPLY, LOW DEMAND WOES PERSIST
COALspot.com: Low coal demand and excess supplies sent Indonesian benchmark coal price further deep in February 2016. HBA has slumped second time t ...
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- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- The University of Queensland
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Australian Coal Association
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Planning Commission, India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- White Energy Company Limited
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
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