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Wednesday, 02 March 16
OIL MY GOD.....!!!!
 OIL my GOD….!!!!
The oil price “crash” that started in 2014 was caused by a glut of practically unwanted oil. Producers had been providing the world with about 2million barrels a day more than what demand supported.
Today oil is trading at its 12 year low, 70% down today since mid-2014. Low oil prices might be welcome by consumers and businesses, but economies, financial markets, oil and gas producers, are not on the same side of the table. We feel the need to focus on the present OPEC talks about a possible cut back in production so to lift prices off the low levels of today. Last week, Saudi Arabia and Russia the world’s biggest oil producers joined Venezuela, Kuwait and Qatar in an agreement to cap output. As per talks, all countries agree to cut back their respective production, with the prerequisite that this will be a unanimous decision by all.
It is very uncertain if Iran would participate in such decision, as finally being in a post-sanctions era, the country will try to regain market share and that will surely involve growing production. True expectation from this action is to find a better equilibrium and to match supply with demand as today supply still exceeds demand and record global oil stockpiles continue to mount. A production freeze would not create an immediate price shock, however if an agreement comes into place soon, we should see oil prices correcting upwards sometime in the 2nd half of this year.
Moving on to our industry, it is no secret that tankers have been enjoying great rates because of increased oil demand, while they have been also benefiting from low bunker prices. Bulkers, despite suffering severely due to low freights, have pretty much found a lifejacket in the form of low bunker costs, although –something that is not often said - slow steaming is no longer slow, which in itself has been weighing down on rates.
Although the effects of low oil prices on both tankers and bulkers have been widely discussed, little has been said for the positive effects that the Passenger and Ro-Pax sectors have been enjoying. About two years ago, bunker expenses where accounting for more than 65% of their voyage operating costs. Today that bunkers have been reduced by 70%, these costs represent about 20% of the present voyage costs.
Needless to say that currently and without taking into consideration any increase in demand for their services nor any increase in car/truck and passenger traffic, these ships have had a significant improvement in their generated net profits. On top of that, there is a lack of tonnage available particularly in the 110-130m LOA size and also in the 2,000-2,500 passenger capacity and 2,000-3,000 lane meter garage space. Not many ships were built post 2000 as prevailing bunker prices then made operation of these ships marginally profitable or non-profitable at all. Values of existing ships have increased, as the cash flow generated is attractive and lacking any replacement candidates.
To put it simply; the cost of replacement is practically the cost of building a new ship! All these factors have boomed the Ro-Pax business both domestically here in Greece as well as internationally and the prospects for this niche market seem very positive for the future times ahead. Interest is there to invest and also to build new ships based on LNG fueled and other innovative ship design developments.
By John N. Cotzias
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 19 February 16
U.S. WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION ROSE 2.6% FROM LAST WEEK - EIA
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer has produced approximately totaled an estimated 13.2 million shor ...
Thursday, 18 February 16
INDIA NEEDS INTERNATIONAL SUPPORT ON HIGH EFFICIENCY COAL - WORLD COAL ASSOCIATION
Speaking at a conference in New Delhi today, World Coal Association Chief Executive Benjamin Sporton said the critical role of coal in driving econ ...
Thursday, 18 February 16
CHINA COAL SECTOR - 2015 RESULTS BLEAK, 2016 UNLIKELY TO BE ANY BETTER - FITCH
COALspot.com: China Coal Sector’s Financial Woes to Worsen in 2016.
Fitch Ratings says that the 2015 full-year result previews issued by ...
Thursday, 18 February 16
PANAMAX RATES OUT OF ECSA WERE STILL GAINING A PREMIUM OVER THE REST OF THE MARKET - INTERMODAL
The BDI moved further down last week, fact that hardly took anyone by surprise as the lunar year holidays in Asia on top of the already depre ...
Wednesday, 17 February 16
TAP ON OPPORTUNITIES IN GROWING ELECTRICITY DEMAND AND NEW COAL POWER PROJECT DEVELOPMENTS IN THE PHILIPPINES - IBC
Tap on Opportunities in Growing Electricity Demand and New Coal Power Project Developments in the Philippines
Coal Power Generation 2016
19- ...
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- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- The University of Queensland
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- MS Steel International - UAE
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- White Energy Company Limited
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Australian Coal Association
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
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