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Wednesday, 13 January 16
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - GEORGE ILIOPOULOS
 Going through the second week of 2016 we could easily argue that at this point there are no visible signs of an imminent recovery in the Dry Bulk market. This is also most probably the reason why despite the significant drop in prices for second hand tonnage, especially for modern assets and for vessels that are above 10 years old, has extended into this year, as limited investor interested is at this stage unable to support asset prices.
The big question that arises in the mind of many market participants is whether prices will remain at their current heavily discounted levels or if they will fall further. Bank financing is expected to have a crucial role in this, pretty much as it did during 2015 when a number of banks exerted pressure on many shipowners to conclude a number of distressed deals with profound implications for the secondhand market and asset prices more specifically. The following two comparable sales is a characteristic example of the magnitude of this exerted pressure on prices; in July 2015, the “GRACE FUTURE” (75k blt ’06, Japan) was sold at about $13.5m and just four months later, the “MARITIME HARESHIO” (75k blt ‘06 Japan), was sold for $8.5m, which represents a hefty 37% drop.
An important factor behind the falling asset prices, besides the poor condition of the freight market that is, is the number of newbuilding vessels expected to hit water in 2016, a substantial part of which was originally scheduled to be delivered during last year. The magnitude of the pressure the additional tonnage that was set to come in service this year would bring on earnings, forced many owners to sell tonnage at low prices during the last part of 2015, being certain that in the beginning of 2016 the situation would only worsen, something that they pretty much seem to have gotten right so far. As hard as it might be to look for silver linings at this stage, the exceptionally slow ordering activity in the Dry Bulk sector is without a doubt a positive development that will definitely help the market in the future. Let’s not forget that one of the factors currently impacting the market severely is in fact the large volume of newbuilding orders placed back in 2013.
Another remarkable fact is that the biggest part of the latest sales, especially in regards to modern tonnage (Cape resales, Ultramaxes, modern Kamsarmaxes etc) comes from listed companies. These sales significantly affect the ‘last dones’ and the market consequently, while at the same time it is extremely difficult for a private company to sell at such a loss its modern vessels. The biggest part of the market “experts” has very low expectations in regards to this year and to be fair macro data in regards to dry bulk commodities is not currently helping towards a more positive view. Nevertheless, in my opinion and as the market is already standing at historical lows, maybe market predictions should aim more on how long this depressed period is going to last and less on the fact that it will indeed be a depressed period, as pretty much everyone has gotten this by now.
This might be the year when prices for Dry Bulk vessels might bottom or not. The “right” time remains perhaps the single most important factor in investing but as this time can be rarely pointed out with precision, all a potential investor can focus on is a comparison between current prices and lows in previous cycles. In this respect, 2016 will be a year of opportunity for shipowners to invest but more specifically those shipowners who have made provisions for at least a few more depressed months ahead.
George Iliopoulos
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 13 January 16
U.S. COAL PRODUCTION DECLINED BY 109 MMST IN 2015; COAL EXPORTS DECREASED 21% Y-O-Y
COALspot.com: U.S. coal production declined by 109 million short tons (MMst) (11%) in 2015, the largest decline ever recorded, says EIA.
The 2 ...
Wednesday, 13 January 16
IRON ORE IMPASSE - A FAILED CLAIM FOR CONVERSION - CLYDE & CO
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
In the recent case of the “Bao Yue”, the English High Court found that the bill of lading holder was liable t ...
Tuesday, 12 January 16
5700 GAR COAL FOR DELIVERY WITHIN Q1 FELL 0.91% WEEK OVER WEEK
COALspot.com: Average 5000 GAR coal index of Indonesian origin moved South direction week over week to averaging $39.96 per ton on last Friday, acc ...
Monday, 11 January 16
PORT OF NEWCASTLE SHIPPED 20% MORE COAL IN DECEMBER 2015; AVERAGE SELLING PRICE DECLINE 3.43%
COALspot.com: The Port of Newcastle, Australia’s major trading ports and the world’s largest coal export port has shipped $1.129 billio ...
Sunday, 10 January 16
LNG BUNKERING IN ASIA: FUELING A PROMISING FUTURE? - REED SMITH
The requirement of a mandatory reduction of sulphur content in bunker fuel proposed by the International Maritime Organisation (IMO) poses a challe ...
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Showing 2611 to 2615 news of total 6871 |
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- Planning Commission, India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Australian Coal Association
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- PTC India Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
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