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Wednesday, 16 December 15
MARKET INSIGHT - KATERINA RESTIS
 On Friday 4th of December the meeting of OPEC was held in Vienna, Austria. Since its last meeting, oil and product stock levels have continued to rise and inventories are now standing above the five-year average. OPEC decided to maintain production at 31.5 million barrels per day although failed to reach to an agreement in reference to production ceiling. As a result, crude oil prices slumped with Brent and U.S. futures falling below $40 a barrel, for the first time since 2009. Since Saudi Arabia drove a year ago OPEC's choice to maintain production and defend its market share by pressuring higher-cost producers, oil price has slid down 40%. The absence of a limit on OPEC’s production could add millions of barrels of additional crude next year, from countries such as Iran and Iraq, though OPEC plans to discuss accommodation of higher supplies at its next meeting in June, 2016.
OPEC expects global economic growth to close off at 3.1% this year, due to the slowdown in the emerging economies and the low US growth in the third quarter. For 2016, world economic growth is expected to progress to 3.4%, with US growth at 2.5% and total OECD growth at 2.1%. World oil demand is assessed to grow on about 1.25 million b/d, while EIA estimates global consumption of petroleum and other liquids to increase by 1.4 million b/d in 2016, with China continuing to be the main driver of non-OECD oil consumption growth. Overall, as global petroleum and other liquids production overtakes consumption, the balance between supply and demand becomes more difficult to be restored, with expectations of a more well-adjusted market pointing to the end of next year.
It should be noted that EIA's crude oil price prediction for 2016 is subject to essential vulnerabilities as the market tries to move towards stability. The oil market faces numerous challenges, including the pace and capacity at which Iranian oil supply reenters the market, the strength of oil consumption growth and the responsiveness of the excess production/supply to low oil prices. Low oil prices have already caused delays or cancellations of scheduled projects, like the cancellation of the 80,000 b/d Carmon Creek project back in October by Shell.
It goes without saying that in regards to the shipping industry, the implications of lower oil prices are significant. In the beginning of each year Worldscale flat rates are reset, with the bunker component being the most critical element to their calculation, based on prices between October and September. The fall in oil prices has led to a major decline of bunker prices. Accordingly, it is projected that for 2016 Worldscale flat rates will decline by more than 25% on long haul routes and by almost 20% on short haul routes. Bear in mind that for long haul routes, bunker costs are undoubtedly the primary expense borne by the Ship-owners during a voyage.
To conclude with, it is argued that there will need to be more than a slight movement on reserves and demand in order to adjust supply and thus sustain oil prices higher, especially as fears of a long period of an oversupplied market have set in crushing sentiment. Specific policy is needed to be set by major producers either within or outside OPEC, in order to motivate traders that any positive correction in the price of oil will be viable, especially ahead of Iran’s return to the market. Otherwise predictions of another dive of oil prices may come true.
Katerina Restis
Tanker Chartering
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 25 May 16
DRY BULK SNP MARKET DISPLAYS SIGNS OF STRENGTH - GEORGE ILIOPOULOS
Only a couple of weeks away from the world’s most prominent maritime event, the market for tankers displays an evident lack of confidence in ...
Tuesday, 24 May 16
WEEKLY CS COAL INDICES NEGATIVE FOR ALL TYPES OF COAL EXCEPT 3800 GAR COAL
COALspot.com: Average 5000 GAR coal index of Indonesian origin was down 0.10 percent week over week to averaging $38.90 per ton this past week, sho ...
Monday, 23 May 16
A PERFECT STORM FOR INDONESIAN STEAM COAL EXPORTS - CLARKSON RESEARCH
Indonesia is the world’s leading steam coal exporter, accounting for over 40% of global seaborne steam coal exports since 2010. However in 20 ...
Monday, 23 May 16
THE PANAMAX INDEX WAS UP 17 POINTS W/W
COALspot.com: The Baltic Exchange, tracking rates for ships carrying dry bulk commodities rose this week.
The freight market was firm and all ...
Friday, 20 May 16
SHIPBUILDING CONTRACTS: CAN I CANCEL? SHOULD I CANCEL? - THE SHIPOWNER CLUB
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
There are many circumstances in which a buyer of a new-build vessel might want to terminate or cancel their contract with ...
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Showing 2421 to 2425 news of total 6871 |
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- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- White Energy Company Limited
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- The University of Queensland
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Planning Commission, India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
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