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Wednesday, 04 November 15
MARKET INSIGHT - CHRISTOPHER THOMAS WHITTY
 Four companies dominate global iron ore production, namely; BHP Billiton, Vale, Rio Tinto, and Fortescue Metals Group. Together these companies control more than 70 percent of the seaborne iron ore market.
The price of iron ore edged to $US49.95/ ton on Wednesday, nearing a four-month low but still the two major producers in Australia and Brazil have been following through with their longstanding plans to increase production. The low iron ore price also comes as China’s official forecaster warned of a 20% fall in Chinese steel consumption over the next 15 years, as Beijing accelerates the shutdown of outdated and loss-making factories.
Rio Tinto in Australia and Vale in Brazil, are still ramping up production. For the first nine-months of 2015, Vale’s production overall is around 8 million metric tons higher than Rio Tinto’s at 248 million metric tons, while Vale’s shipments are just over 3 million metric tons higher.
Of course Australian miners still have an advantage in delivered costs to China, the main importer for iron ore. For example, Capesizes hauling the commodity from Brazil to China last week saw rates around $12/ton for the Tubarao/Qingdao route, while from Rio Tinto’s Dampier terminal in Western Australian, freight rates were slightly in excess of $5.10/ton.
It is quite interesting to see that current iron ore prices aren’t worrying Rio Tinto. Their CEO, Andrew Harding, said he’s not losing sleep, because the business line, like the miner itself, is in for the long haul. He reasons that populations will continue to grow and develop, especially in Asia and iron ore will be needed to serve their needs. In September, Rio Tinto said its modelling showed that the world would need three billion tons of iron ore by 2030.
On the other side of the world, Vale is also quite confident in their iron ore division after releasing their third quarter results for 2015. Their highlight is the significant cost cutting during this period, which made Vale, the company with the lowest production cost/ton in the entire sector, reach an unprecedented cost level of $ 12.7/ton of iron ore. They are trailing faster growth compared to Australian majors, who this year posted stronger increases to volumes from new capacity ramp-ups.
This is an oversupplied market that is obviously affected by the shrinking Chinese steel demand. On the other hand, oversupplied ore trade also creates opportunities for the large players, since it means that certain high-cost producers will struggle to survive. Some iron ore mines, such as those in Canada, China and Africa, have already buckled under the pressure.
Nevertheless, producers with operating costs that are far below current iron ore prices are very well-positioned to take market share in the long term. Now if several high-cost producers exit the industry, it would be quite difficult for them to re-commence operations.
Over the long term, the low-cost iron mines could potentially fill the gap that remains after smaller companies exit the market. The gain in market share will likely increase margins, operating cash flow and profits. Hopefully this could also change the dynamics in the market and positively affect the demand for seaborne trade.
By Christopher Thomas Whitty
Marketing Manager, Towage & Port Agency
Cotzias Intermodal Shipping
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Sunday, 22 November 15
INDONESIA TO INDIA FREIGHT RATES TO REMAIN DULL NEXT WEEK
COALspot.com: The BDI was down to historical lows closing at 498 points which is down by almost 95.77 per cent compared to 11,800 points in 2008.
...
Sunday, 22 November 15
INDIA COULD PROVIDE SILVER LINING FOR SHIPPING INDUSTRY - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The rise of India as a global player in the shipping market could be just a couple of years away, as the country has the potential to become a seco ...
Friday, 20 November 15
U.S. COAL PRODUCTION FOR THE WEEK ENDING NOVEMBER '14; NO CHANGE FROM LAST WEEK
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer has produced approximately totaled an estimated 16.5 million shor ...
Friday, 20 November 15
NO IMPROVEMENT SEEN IN NEAR-TERM COAL DEMAND; SWAPS CLOSE LOWER
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swap for delivery Q1 2016 declined month on month and flat on week over week. Price of coal seen no improvements this ...
Friday, 20 November 15
CHANGING CRUDE SUPPLY TRENDS MAY HELP EUROPEAN REFINERS - FITCH RATINGS
COALspot.com: Changes in global oil supply trends, including high Russian production, the expected renewal of Iranian heavy crude exports and the p ...
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- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Australian Coal Association
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- White Energy Company Limited
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Planning Commission, India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- PTC India Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- VISA Power Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
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