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Friday, 07 August 15
COAL PRICE DEVELOPMENTS CAN ONLY BE DESCRIBED, SUCCINCTLY AS "OVERSUPPLY MEETS SUBDUED DEMAND" - VDKI
Coal Outlook 2015 – International
Regarding the outlook for global coal trading, two questions arise: firstly, “ whether the years of growth might now be over” and secondly “ whether the low prices have now bottomed out and are set to develop into a renewed upward trend” - German Coal Importer Association.
According to German Coal Importer Association, the forecasts for the global economy are showing an upward trend for 2015 with anticipated growth of 3.5% in gross domestic product globally, 3.1% in the USA and 1.3% in the Eurozone. As there is a correlation between demand for hard coal and economic growth, the conditions for an upward trend would appear to be present.
According to an estimate by the IEA, demand for coal in the years ahead is going to increase globally by an average of 2.1% per year. In absolute figures, that means an increase in demand from 8,247m tonnes in 2015 to 9,018m tonnes in 2019. The highest level of demand for additional quantities of coal will be shown by China with +661m tonnes and India with +251m tonnes in the five-year period. This means that by 2019, India will have overtaken the United States as a consumer of coal. The pace of growth will then slow down further – from annual growth of 5.3% in the period from 2005 to 2010 to a growth rate still at 2.1% in the period from 2015 to 2019. The lion's share of this growth will take place in the non-OECD states with growth rates of 3% per year.
The association further noted that, the reality is very close to the forecast: preliminary calculations by the VDKi for the first three months of 2015 indicate that the seaborne world market rose by just under 3% (8m tonnes) in comparison with the same period last year. Indonesia (+4m tonnes), Australia (+5m tonnes) and Colombia (+6m tonnes) increased their exports particularly strongly, while the USA (-5m tonnes) and Vietnam (-2m tonnes) cut back their exports. The other countries remained at their 2014 level.
Europe, on the other hand, has an oversupply of steam coal. This situation is accentuated by the further expansion of renewable, particularly in Germany and the UK, which will further reduce the peak use hours and therefore the demand for coal in the hard coal-fired power plants.
Despite these positive figures, the price developments can only be described, succinctly as "oversupply meets subdued demand".
According to presentation of VDKi, the development whereby a global oversupply of coal meets an insufficient increase in demand since 2011 continued in 2014. The pressure on prices consequently persisted in 2014 as well. In the period from January 2014 until today alone (10.7.2015), the prices for steam coal FOB Colombia declined from 72 US$/t to 52 US$/t, i.e. by approximately 30%.
Demand for steam coal in the Atlantic region has likewise remained rather weak between January and the present day. Accordingly, the further development of the price for steam coal will depend largely on the development of the Asian markets in particular, which in turn depend on the needs of China and India. Our research indicates that demand has fallen most markedly in China, while it has increased modestly in India.
All in all, we do not expect to see a significant increase in coal prices in the near future, German Coal Importer Association concluded in its presentation.
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Wednesday, 12 August 15
FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP FLAT WEEK OVER WEEK
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for 4Q’ 2015 delivery down $ 0.98 per MT (-2.20%) month over month to US$ 43.65 per mt. The swap ...
Tuesday, 11 August 15
GLOBAL PRODUCTION OF CRUDE STEEL REACHED A NEW ALL-TIME HIGH OF 1,661M TONNES IN 2014 - VDKI
COALpot.com: Global production of crude steel reached a new all-time high of 1,661m tonnes in 2014, said German Coal Importer Association, in its l ...
Tuesday, 11 August 15
2016 CFR S.CHINA COAL SWAPS CLOSED SLIGHTLY HIGHER THAN 4Q 2015 CLOSING PRICES; BUT NOT SIGNIFICANT
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for 4Q’ 2015 delivery declined just US cents 10 (0.20%) per MT month over month.
A commodi ...
Monday, 10 August 15
SOUTH KOREAN UTILITY KOMIPO INVITES BITUMINOUS COAL BIDS FOR BORYEONG POWER PLANT
COALspot.com: South Korean state-owned utility Korea Midland Power (KOMIPO) issued an new tender for 560,000 Metric Tons (MT) of 4,600kcal/kg NAR c ...
Sunday, 09 August 15
THE PANAMAX MARKET HAS REMAINED WEAK THIS WEEK
COALspot.com: The freight market continued to be buoyant with cape index pushing the BDI.
The BDI was up 10.49% and closed at 1200 points on 7 ...
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- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Australian Coal Association
- The University of Queensland
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
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