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Wednesday, 22 April 15
TANKER MARKET INSIGHT - STRATOS TINIAKOS
 The current environment we experience as a result of low crude oil prices is characterized by the increased demand for petroleum products in OECD countries (expected to surpass that of the developing countries by 2020), the increased output of refineries and consequently lower price of refined products.
As we have now entered Q2 and still enjoy some very good returns in the tanker market, we are looking back at the MR returns and how the MR fleet unfolds from 2012 to 2017. We see that an average of 126 vessels is delivered per year with a standard deviation of 32 vessels. The returns in the sector have increased due the factors mentioned above as well as the opening of more and more refineries around the world.
150 vessels, almost half of the orderbook, are due to be delivered throughout this year, while in 2016 and 2017 we expect 123 and 25 vessels respectively. Given the overwhelming slowdown in newbuilding activity over the past 9 months and based on the current economic projections we expect the slowdown in orders to persist for a bit longer.
In the meantime we see that the current environment do not support SnP activity, as Sellers push for more seeing their margins improve and buyers are still considering if the premium is worth at this stage.
The MR fleet up to 5 years old is expected to be around 647 vessels at the beginning of 2017. The main characteristic of the majority of the ships that were built post 2013, is that they are of eco design, which currently earns them a premium of around 10% in the t/c contracts compared to non-eco ships. According to our data the time charter fixtures concluded during the period 2012 up to now with a time horizon of 4 months up to 5 years, we observe that the majority concerns T/C contracts of over 1 year period.
The average 1 yr T/C rate for max 5yr old vessels is around 13,850 /day and it has been on an upward path since last year, while the trend for 2 yr T/C is also rising with an average rate of around usd 13,970/day. We also observe that starting 2013 and throughout 2015 rates have been increasing regardless of vessel age in both these period contracts, while 3-yr period contracts are currently being fixed at around usd16,000/ day for vessels up to ten years old, while the existence of the eco design in this case has made no difference in terms of premium.
The remaining of the year will be challenging for spot players as they will have to cope with the scheduled deliveries that will be added in the active service fleet, while in regards to new entrants – especially private equity funds – we could be seeing more aggressive movements in the form of acquisition of modern units on en-block basis. If this proves to be the case, it will also translate to more aggressiveness in fixing long term contracts as well. Obviously charterers will take advantage of the modernization of the fleet and we anticipate that they will hold back and focus on periods of 2-3 years on modern eco imo units at sub usd 16,000 levels.
Stratos Tiniakos
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Saturday, 14 February 15
SHALE GAS AND TIGHT OIL ARE COMMERCIALLY PRODUCED IN JUST FOUR COUNTRIES - EIA
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
The United States, Canada, China, and Argentina are currently the only four countries in the world that are producing com ...
Friday, 13 February 15
U.S. WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION SHOWS 10% DECLINE
COALspot.com – United States the world's one of the largest coal producers, produced approximately 18.1 million short tons (mmst) of coal ...
Friday, 13 February 15
SMALL AND MEDIUM-SIZED SHIP OWNERS SQUEEZED OUT OF THE MARKET ON CRASHING DRY BULK MARKET AND EUROZONE CRISIS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
Financing issues have started to tighten the noose in the throats of small and medium-size ship owners, who were already facing problems over the p ...
Thursday, 12 February 15
CAPESIZE: THE BEST DESCRIPTION FOR THE MARKET IS, FLAT - FEARNRESEARCH
Handy
The handy and supra market is also being affected by the marginal volume of activity in the commodity sales. We see a small upturn in the T ...
Thursday, 12 February 15
DRY BULK OWNERS SCRAP MORE VESSELS, AS MARKET REACHES HISTORICAL LOWS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk market has reached historical lows this week, with the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) now trading at levels below operating expense levels for ...
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- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- White Energy Company Limited
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Australian Coal Association
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- The University of Queensland
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
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