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Saturday, 28 March 15
THE DRY BULK FLEET AT BREAKING POINT - CLARKSONS
 The severe oversupply in the bulkcarrier fleet has contributed to the current trough in the dry bulk market, putting considerable financial pressure on owners, many of whom are subject to earnings close to operating costs. This has triggered a surge in bulkcarrier demolition since the beginning of 2015. If the current rate of scrapping were to continue, there would be a clear impact on dry bulk fleet growth.
A Surge In Scrapping
Bulker demolition has surged in recent months, due to an oversupplied fleet, cooling global dry bulk trade growth and low vessel earnings. A total of 78 vessels (of a combined 5.9m dwt) were reported scrapped in the first two months of 2015, equivalent to 35% of total bulkcarrier demolition in 2014. Capesize scrapping totalled 3.3m dwt, accounting for 56% of all bulker demolition in the two month period, already equivalent to around 80% of scrapping in the sector last year. The average age at which bulker vessels were scrapped has thus fallen to below 25 years for the first time this century.
How Does It Compare?
The annual record level of bulker demolition was 33.4m dwt in 2012, coinciding with a 30% y-o-y drop in average earnings. While earnings were weak, some market indicators were considerably better than they are today. Seaborne dry bulk trade grew 7% (with 3% projected for this year) and the Baltic Dry Index averaged over 900, far above the record low of 509 reached in February 2015. In the first two months of 2015 overall bulker earnings averaged $6,545/day: around $2,000/day less than the annual average for 2012. It is therefore perhaps no surprise that demolition is surging.
The Uneven Distribution
There are several potential impacts of growth in demolition. The Chinese bulkcarrier fleet shrank in 2014, partly due to the government scrapping subsidy. The subsidy is currently set to end this year and with many of the vessels scrapped in the year to date being Chinese-owned, this could shrink the Chinese fleet further. Also, the faster pace of Handysize demolition in Q1 2015 has led the Handymax sector to consolidate its position as the largest in the dry bulk fleet in terms of vessel numbers.
An Interesting Scenario
One very important impact of the surge is the potential stemming of fleet growth. Total bulker scrapping is currently projected to increase by around 30% y-o-y, to reach 21.2m dwt in 2015. However, at the current pace of scrapping, demolition in Q1 2015 could approach a record level, and in the full year, over 35m dwt of bulkers would be scrapped, more than doubling last year’s total. This could slow growth in the bulkcarrier fleet to around 2.5% y-o-y, which would represent the slowest rate in more than a decade. In this scenario Capesize fleet growth would be limited to around 2-3%.
So demolition is surging, and could approach record levels, altering the make-up of the bulker fleet, in terms of age, the distribution across sectors and owner nationality. And whether records are broken or not this year, the increase in demolition will have a clear impact on the rate of fleet expansion.
Source: Clarksons | Hellenic Shipping News
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Thursday, 19 March 15
INDONESIAN COAL BENCHMARK SOAR 7.69% IN MARCH....!!!
COALspot.com - The Ministry of Energy & Mineral Resources of Indonesia revised up Indonesian coal benchmark prices to US$ 67.76 per MT in March ...
Wednesday, 18 March 15
AVERAGE RATE FOR CAPES MOVED TO BELOW $ 4K/DAY LAST WEEK - INTERMODAL
COALspot.com: The even heavier losses noted in the Capesize segment last week, denied the Dry Bulk market a third weekly positive, while the smalle ...
Wednesday, 18 March 15
PARKING THE CAPES - LINOS KOGEVINAS
It is no secret that recent times have been anything but kind towards shipping, and no sector has suffered more lately than the dry bulk one. While ...
Wednesday, 18 March 15
CHINA-OWNED SHIPS: A RAPID RISE TO BECOME ONE OF THE WORLD'S LARGEST FLEETS - RICHARD SCOTT
Ships operated by owners based in China have become increasingly prominent on the world’s sea routes. China-owned container ships, bulk carri ...
Wednesday, 18 March 15
Q2 INDONESIAN COAL SWAP DROP 1.45% M-O-M; GAIN 0.63% W-O-W
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q2' 2015 drop month on month and gained week over week.
The Q2 swap fell US$ 0.70 (1.45%) ...
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- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Planning Commission, India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- White Energy Company Limited
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Australian Coal Association
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
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