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Saturday, 28 March 15
THE DRY BULK FLEET AT BREAKING POINT - CLARKSONS
 The severe oversupply in the bulkcarrier fleet has contributed to the current trough in the dry bulk market, putting considerable financial pressure on owners, many of whom are subject to earnings close to operating costs. This has triggered a surge in bulkcarrier demolition since the beginning of 2015. If the current rate of scrapping were to continue, there would be a clear impact on dry bulk fleet growth.
A Surge In Scrapping
Bulker demolition has surged in recent months, due to an oversupplied fleet, cooling global dry bulk trade growth and low vessel earnings. A total of 78 vessels (of a combined 5.9m dwt) were reported scrapped in the first two months of 2015, equivalent to 35% of total bulkcarrier demolition in 2014. Capesize scrapping totalled 3.3m dwt, accounting for 56% of all bulker demolition in the two month period, already equivalent to around 80% of scrapping in the sector last year. The average age at which bulker vessels were scrapped has thus fallen to below 25 years for the first time this century.
How Does It Compare?
The annual record level of bulker demolition was 33.4m dwt in 2012, coinciding with a 30% y-o-y drop in average earnings. While earnings were weak, some market indicators were considerably better than they are today. Seaborne dry bulk trade grew 7% (with 3% projected for this year) and the Baltic Dry Index averaged over 900, far above the record low of 509 reached in February 2015. In the first two months of 2015 overall bulker earnings averaged $6,545/day: around $2,000/day less than the annual average for 2012. It is therefore perhaps no surprise that demolition is surging.
The Uneven Distribution
There are several potential impacts of growth in demolition. The Chinese bulkcarrier fleet shrank in 2014, partly due to the government scrapping subsidy. The subsidy is currently set to end this year and with many of the vessels scrapped in the year to date being Chinese-owned, this could shrink the Chinese fleet further. Also, the faster pace of Handysize demolition in Q1 2015 has led the Handymax sector to consolidate its position as the largest in the dry bulk fleet in terms of vessel numbers.
An Interesting Scenario
One very important impact of the surge is the potential stemming of fleet growth. Total bulker scrapping is currently projected to increase by around 30% y-o-y, to reach 21.2m dwt in 2015. However, at the current pace of scrapping, demolition in Q1 2015 could approach a record level, and in the full year, over 35m dwt of bulkers would be scrapped, more than doubling last year’s total. This could slow growth in the bulkcarrier fleet to around 2.5% y-o-y, which would represent the slowest rate in more than a decade. In this scenario Capesize fleet growth would be limited to around 2-3%.
So demolition is surging, and could approach record levels, altering the make-up of the bulker fleet, in terms of age, the distribution across sectors and owner nationality. And whether records are broken or not this year, the increase in demolition will have a clear impact on the rate of fleet expansion.
Source: Clarksons | Hellenic Shipping News
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Tuesday, 24 March 15
RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAP FOR DELIVERY Q2 CLOSED $ 1.87 HIGHER COMPARED TO Q3 CLOSING PRICE
COALspot.com: API 4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery Q2' 2015 declined month over month and week on week.
The Q2 swap has dropped U ...
Tuesday, 24 March 15
ARGUS MEDITERRANEAN SOLID FUELS 2015 CONFERENCE | 2-3 JUNE, ISTANBUL
Press Release: Argus Media is proud to announce Argus Mediterranean Solid Fuels, which will be held in Istanbul,on 2-3February.
Argus produces ...
Monday, 23 March 15
IS OIL GETTING READY TO PLUNGE BELOW $40? - FORBES
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
In my last crude oil market update in late-February, I expressed my skepticism toward the oil price rebound. Since then, ...
Monday, 23 March 15
Q4' 2015 FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAPS DECLINED 6.79% M-O-M; 2.55% W-O-W
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q2’ 2015 delivery declined US$ 3.42 per MT (-6.33%) month over month and US$ 1.37 (-2.77%) we ...
Monday, 23 March 15
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP: Q3 DELIVERY HAS FALLEN 7.93% MONTH-ON-MONTH
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q2’ 2015 delivery declined US$ 4.09 (-7.06%) per MT month over month and US$ 2.00 (-3 ...
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- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Australian Coal Association
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Planning Commission, India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
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