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Saturday, 28 March 15
THE DRY BULK FLEET AT BREAKING POINT - CLARKSONS
 The severe oversupply in the bulkcarrier fleet has contributed to the current trough in the dry bulk market, putting considerable financial pressure on owners, many of whom are subject to earnings close to operating costs. This has triggered a surge in bulkcarrier demolition since the beginning of 2015. If the current rate of scrapping were to continue, there would be a clear impact on dry bulk fleet growth.
A Surge In Scrapping
Bulker demolition has surged in recent months, due to an oversupplied fleet, cooling global dry bulk trade growth and low vessel earnings. A total of 78 vessels (of a combined 5.9m dwt) were reported scrapped in the first two months of 2015, equivalent to 35% of total bulkcarrier demolition in 2014. Capesize scrapping totalled 3.3m dwt, accounting for 56% of all bulker demolition in the two month period, already equivalent to around 80% of scrapping in the sector last year. The average age at which bulker vessels were scrapped has thus fallen to below 25 years for the first time this century.
How Does It Compare?
The annual record level of bulker demolition was 33.4m dwt in 2012, coinciding with a 30% y-o-y drop in average earnings. While earnings were weak, some market indicators were considerably better than they are today. Seaborne dry bulk trade grew 7% (with 3% projected for this year) and the Baltic Dry Index averaged over 900, far above the record low of 509 reached in February 2015. In the first two months of 2015 overall bulker earnings averaged $6,545/day: around $2,000/day less than the annual average for 2012. It is therefore perhaps no surprise that demolition is surging.
The Uneven Distribution
There are several potential impacts of growth in demolition. The Chinese bulkcarrier fleet shrank in 2014, partly due to the government scrapping subsidy. The subsidy is currently set to end this year and with many of the vessels scrapped in the year to date being Chinese-owned, this could shrink the Chinese fleet further. Also, the faster pace of Handysize demolition in Q1 2015 has led the Handymax sector to consolidate its position as the largest in the dry bulk fleet in terms of vessel numbers.
An Interesting Scenario
One very important impact of the surge is the potential stemming of fleet growth. Total bulker scrapping is currently projected to increase by around 30% y-o-y, to reach 21.2m dwt in 2015. However, at the current pace of scrapping, demolition in Q1 2015 could approach a record level, and in the full year, over 35m dwt of bulkers would be scrapped, more than doubling last year’s total. This could slow growth in the bulkcarrier fleet to around 2.5% y-o-y, which would represent the slowest rate in more than a decade. In this scenario Capesize fleet growth would be limited to around 2-3%.
So demolition is surging, and could approach record levels, altering the make-up of the bulker fleet, in terms of age, the distribution across sectors and owner nationality. And whether records are broken or not this year, the increase in demolition will have a clear impact on the rate of fleet expansion.
Source: Clarksons | Hellenic Shipping News
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Monday, 23 March 15
SEABORNE WORLD COAL TRADE: GROWTH +5% - GERMAN COAL IMPORTER ASSOCIATION
Hard Coal Market 2014: Despite The Energy Turnaround, Hard Coal Imports To Germany Rise By More Than 6%, Although Hard Coal-Fired Power Generation ...
Sunday, 22 March 15
DRY BULK RATES CONTINUED TO RISE THIS WEEK
COALspot.com: The freight market was steady this week as all the segments increased after many weeks of weak trend.
The Baltic Dry Index (BDI) ...
Friday, 20 March 15
HARD COAL MARKET 2014: DESPITE THE ENERGY TURNAROUND, HARD COAL IMPORTS TO GERMANY RISE BY MORE THAN 6% (PART 1)
Hard Coal Market 2014: Despite The Energy Turnaround, Hard Coal Imports To Germany Rise By More Than 6%, Although Hard Coal-Fired Power Generation ...
Friday, 20 March 15
U.S. WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION SHOWS 5.9% INCREASE WEEK OVER WEEK - EIA
COALspot.com – United States the world's one of the largest coal producers, produced approximately 18.5 million short tons (mmst) of coal ...
Thursday, 19 March 15
HANDY: INDO COAL CARGOS DESTINED FOR INDIA BEING FIXED IN REGION OF $ 7-8K - FEARNLEYS
Handy
The Handy and Supra market has had a week with mixed signals. Although we see more activity in both hemispheres the rates are only up about ...
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- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- PTC India Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Planning Commission, India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
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