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Thursday, 05 March 15
INDIA WILL BE THE LARGEST DRIVER OF GLOBAL SEABORNE COKING COAL DEMAND GROWTH IN 2015 - WOOD MACKENZIE
 Global demand growth will remain weak because of China’s negative demand growth.
COALspot.com: At Coaltrans India, Wood Mackenzie says India will be central to supporting growth in the global seaborne metallurgical (met) coal market this year, with a two million tonnes (Mt) rise in imports on the cards. Overall however, global growth in the seaborne market will remain broadly subdued thanks to expectations for a further retreat in Chinese imports of 4-5Mt. Following on from last year, China’s appetite for imports has waned thanks to a combination of a slowing steel sector, lower coke prices and the continued uncertainty regarding trace element standards being enforced on met coal imports.
Ronnie Cecil, Principal Steel Analyst for Wood Mackenzie says, “In 2015, the combined net increase in global seaborne demand will just about be sufficient to offset the negative China impact this year. India offers the main ray of hope with steel production growth on course to advance 4% this year boosting demand for imported met coal. Growth wise semi-soft coking coal (SSCC) and pulverised coal injection (PCI) coal, both used in steelmaking, will continue to see imports rise sharply thanks to steelmakers’ ongoing focus on hot metal cost reduction. Meanwhile, the scarcity of good quality premium hard coking coal locally will continue to support imports.”
Looking further ahead, India is expected to remain a key driver of global met coal trade growth over both the medium and long term. Of the 123Mt rise in global trade projected by Wood Mackenzie out to 2035, India is expected to account for 40% of this, with China contributing 28%. Mr Cecil says, “We expect rising Indian demand to overtake Japan - currently the biggest importer - in 2025 before reaching parity with China by 2035. This begs the question of whether India will be the next China.”
For the medium term from now to 2020, Wood Mackenzie says China is expected to resume its charge on the coal import front, with imports heading over 100Mt. However, with peak hot metal demand set to kick-in around the same time at 880Mt, this will temper further upside for Chinese coal imports longer term. For India, it is very much the reverse of this story. Mr Cecil explains, “While the potential for huge steel consumption growth is there in India, the capacity to satisfy that demand is likely to take a longer timeframe compared to China as it is typically constrained by bureaucratic procedures, regulations and permitting issues. As a result, we are less bullish over the medium term anticipating steel growth of 4-5% per annum, before ramping up to 6-7% per annum in the longer term to 2035. This in-turn will skew most of the 51Mt coal import growth in India towards the 2020-2035 timeframe.”
In summary, Mr Cecil says, “India’s steel sector tells of a positive story through to the longer term. For now, it is not a dominant force but it is clearly starting to show strength in supporting demand through a very weak and oversupplied global market. It is also one to watch to understand the shift in demand growth concentration when China does eventually reach peak iron and steel demand.”
About Wood Mackenzie:
Wood Mackenzie is a global leader in commercial intelligence for the energy, metals and mining industries. We provide objective analysis and advice on assets, companies and markets, giving clients the insights they need to make better strategic decisions. For more information visit Wood Mackenzie official website
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Tuesday, 10 February 15
SUB-BIT FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP ADVANCES 3.79% WEEK ON WEEK
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q2' 2015 rose week over week and month on month.
The Q2 swap up US$ 0.85 (+1.81%) month o ...
Tuesday, 10 February 15
FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAPS SURGE WEEK OVER WEEK, RAISING HOPES?
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q2’ 2015 delivery rose US$ 0.95 per MT (+1.91%) week over week and declined US$ 0.06 (-0.12%) ...
Monday, 09 February 15
AUSTRALIAN COAL PRODUCERS BEST POSITIONED IN OVERSUPPLIED MARKET; US MINES MOST AT RISK - WOOD MACKENZIE
In a 2015 global coal outlook report, Wood Mackenzie says that Australia and Indonesian coal suppliers will see some upside in the difficult months ...
Monday, 09 February 15
FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAP GAINS 3.65% TO ONE-MONTH HIGH
COALspot.com: API 4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery Q2' 2015 surge month over month and day on day.
The Q2 swap has soared US$ 2.1 ...
Monday, 09 February 15
Q2' CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP DECLINED 3.28% TO $ 56.92 W-O-W
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q2’ 2015 delivery declined US$ 1.93 (-3.28%) per MT month over month and US$ 0.10 (-0 ...
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- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Australian Coal Association
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
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