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Thursday, 05 March 15
INDIA WILL BE THE LARGEST DRIVER OF GLOBAL SEABORNE COKING COAL DEMAND GROWTH IN 2015 - WOOD MACKENZIE
 Global demand growth will remain weak because of China’s negative demand growth.
COALspot.com: At Coaltrans India, Wood Mackenzie says India will be central to supporting growth in the global seaborne metallurgical (met) coal market this year, with a two million tonnes (Mt) rise in imports on the cards. Overall however, global growth in the seaborne market will remain broadly subdued thanks to expectations for a further retreat in Chinese imports of 4-5Mt. Following on from last year, China’s appetite for imports has waned thanks to a combination of a slowing steel sector, lower coke prices and the continued uncertainty regarding trace element standards being enforced on met coal imports.
Ronnie Cecil, Principal Steel Analyst for Wood Mackenzie says, “In 2015, the combined net increase in global seaborne demand will just about be sufficient to offset the negative China impact this year. India offers the main ray of hope with steel production growth on course to advance 4% this year boosting demand for imported met coal. Growth wise semi-soft coking coal (SSCC) and pulverised coal injection (PCI) coal, both used in steelmaking, will continue to see imports rise sharply thanks to steelmakers’ ongoing focus on hot metal cost reduction. Meanwhile, the scarcity of good quality premium hard coking coal locally will continue to support imports.”
Looking further ahead, India is expected to remain a key driver of global met coal trade growth over both the medium and long term. Of the 123Mt rise in global trade projected by Wood Mackenzie out to 2035, India is expected to account for 40% of this, with China contributing 28%. Mr Cecil says, “We expect rising Indian demand to overtake Japan - currently the biggest importer - in 2025 before reaching parity with China by 2035. This begs the question of whether India will be the next China.”
For the medium term from now to 2020, Wood Mackenzie says China is expected to resume its charge on the coal import front, with imports heading over 100Mt. However, with peak hot metal demand set to kick-in around the same time at 880Mt, this will temper further upside for Chinese coal imports longer term. For India, it is very much the reverse of this story. Mr Cecil explains, “While the potential for huge steel consumption growth is there in India, the capacity to satisfy that demand is likely to take a longer timeframe compared to China as it is typically constrained by bureaucratic procedures, regulations and permitting issues. As a result, we are less bullish over the medium term anticipating steel growth of 4-5% per annum, before ramping up to 6-7% per annum in the longer term to 2035. This in-turn will skew most of the 51Mt coal import growth in India towards the 2020-2035 timeframe.”
In summary, Mr Cecil says, “India’s steel sector tells of a positive story through to the longer term. For now, it is not a dominant force but it is clearly starting to show strength in supporting demand through a very weak and oversupplied global market. It is also one to watch to understand the shift in demand growth concentration when China does eventually reach peak iron and steel demand.”
About Wood Mackenzie:
Wood Mackenzie is a global leader in commercial intelligence for the energy, metals and mining industries. We provide objective analysis and advice on assets, companies and markets, giving clients the insights they need to make better strategic decisions. For more information visit Wood Mackenzie official website
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Saturday, 14 February 15
SHALE GAS AND TIGHT OIL ARE COMMERCIALLY PRODUCED IN JUST FOUR COUNTRIES - EIA
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
The United States, Canada, China, and Argentina are currently the only four countries in the world that are producing com ...
Friday, 13 February 15
U.S. WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION SHOWS 10% DECLINE
COALspot.com – United States the world's one of the largest coal producers, produced approximately 18.1 million short tons (mmst) of coal ...
Friday, 13 February 15
SMALL AND MEDIUM-SIZED SHIP OWNERS SQUEEZED OUT OF THE MARKET ON CRASHING DRY BULK MARKET AND EUROZONE CRISIS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
Financing issues have started to tighten the noose in the throats of small and medium-size ship owners, who were already facing problems over the p ...
Thursday, 12 February 15
CAPESIZE: THE BEST DESCRIPTION FOR THE MARKET IS, FLAT - FEARNRESEARCH
Handy
The handy and supra market is also being affected by the marginal volume of activity in the commodity sales. We see a small upturn in the T ...
Thursday, 12 February 15
DRY BULK OWNERS SCRAP MORE VESSELS, AS MARKET REACHES HISTORICAL LOWS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk market has reached historical lows this week, with the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) now trading at levels below operating expense levels for ...
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- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Planning Commission, India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- The University of Queensland
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Minerals Council of Australia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
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