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Thursday, 05 March 15
INDIA WILL BE THE LARGEST DRIVER OF GLOBAL SEABORNE COKING COAL DEMAND GROWTH IN 2015 - WOOD MACKENZIE
 Global demand growth will remain weak because of China’s negative demand growth.
COALspot.com: At Coaltrans India, Wood Mackenzie says India will be central to supporting growth in the global seaborne metallurgical (met) coal market this year, with a two million tonnes (Mt) rise in imports on the cards. Overall however, global growth in the seaborne market will remain broadly subdued thanks to expectations for a further retreat in Chinese imports of 4-5Mt. Following on from last year, China’s appetite for imports has waned thanks to a combination of a slowing steel sector, lower coke prices and the continued uncertainty regarding trace element standards being enforced on met coal imports.
Ronnie Cecil, Principal Steel Analyst for Wood Mackenzie says, “In 2015, the combined net increase in global seaborne demand will just about be sufficient to offset the negative China impact this year. India offers the main ray of hope with steel production growth on course to advance 4% this year boosting demand for imported met coal. Growth wise semi-soft coking coal (SSCC) and pulverised coal injection (PCI) coal, both used in steelmaking, will continue to see imports rise sharply thanks to steelmakers’ ongoing focus on hot metal cost reduction. Meanwhile, the scarcity of good quality premium hard coking coal locally will continue to support imports.”
Looking further ahead, India is expected to remain a key driver of global met coal trade growth over both the medium and long term. Of the 123Mt rise in global trade projected by Wood Mackenzie out to 2035, India is expected to account for 40% of this, with China contributing 28%. Mr Cecil says, “We expect rising Indian demand to overtake Japan - currently the biggest importer - in 2025 before reaching parity with China by 2035. This begs the question of whether India will be the next China.”
For the medium term from now to 2020, Wood Mackenzie says China is expected to resume its charge on the coal import front, with imports heading over 100Mt. However, with peak hot metal demand set to kick-in around the same time at 880Mt, this will temper further upside for Chinese coal imports longer term. For India, it is very much the reverse of this story. Mr Cecil explains, “While the potential for huge steel consumption growth is there in India, the capacity to satisfy that demand is likely to take a longer timeframe compared to China as it is typically constrained by bureaucratic procedures, regulations and permitting issues. As a result, we are less bullish over the medium term anticipating steel growth of 4-5% per annum, before ramping up to 6-7% per annum in the longer term to 2035. This in-turn will skew most of the 51Mt coal import growth in India towards the 2020-2035 timeframe.”
In summary, Mr Cecil says, “India’s steel sector tells of a positive story through to the longer term. For now, it is not a dominant force but it is clearly starting to show strength in supporting demand through a very weak and oversupplied global market. It is also one to watch to understand the shift in demand growth concentration when China does eventually reach peak iron and steel demand.”
About Wood Mackenzie:
Wood Mackenzie is a global leader in commercial intelligence for the energy, metals and mining industries. We provide objective analysis and advice on assets, companies and markets, giving clients the insights they need to make better strategic decisions. For more information visit Wood Mackenzie official website
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Monday, 23 March 15
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP: Q3 DELIVERY HAS FALLEN 7.93% MONTH-ON-MONTH
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q2’ 2015 delivery declined US$ 4.09 (-7.06%) per MT month over month and US$ 2.00 (-3 ...
Monday, 23 March 15
SEABORNE WORLD COAL TRADE: GROWTH +5% - GERMAN COAL IMPORTER ASSOCIATION
Hard Coal Market 2014: Despite The Energy Turnaround, Hard Coal Imports To Germany Rise By More Than 6%, Although Hard Coal-Fired Power Generation ...
Sunday, 22 March 15
DRY BULK RATES CONTINUED TO RISE THIS WEEK
COALspot.com: The freight market was steady this week as all the segments increased after many weeks of weak trend.
The Baltic Dry Index (BDI) ...
Friday, 20 March 15
HARD COAL MARKET 2014: DESPITE THE ENERGY TURNAROUND, HARD COAL IMPORTS TO GERMANY RISE BY MORE THAN 6% (PART 1)
Hard Coal Market 2014: Despite The Energy Turnaround, Hard Coal Imports To Germany Rise By More Than 6%, Although Hard Coal-Fired Power Generation ...
Friday, 20 March 15
U.S. WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION SHOWS 5.9% INCREASE WEEK OVER WEEK - EIA
COALspot.com – United States the world's one of the largest coal producers, produced approximately 18.5 million short tons (mmst) of coal ...
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- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- PTC India Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Planning Commission, India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
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