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Thursday, 26 February 15
DRY BULK MARKET LOOKING FOR POSITIVE MOMENTUM, BUT PROSPECTS REMAIN DIM - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
As the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) inched a bit higher over the past couple of sessions and the Chinese are returning to the market after a week long hiatus, most market delegates are looking to see if the market will bounce back. According to the latest weekly report from shipbroker Allied Shipbroking, “the truth is that commodity prices have still remained at relatively low levels despite a slight uptick these past couple of weeks. Both Iron ore and coal have noted an improve-ment compared to where they stood in early February, while iron ore inventories at China’s main ports are reported to be sloping down to 96 million dry tonnes with in-creased momentum”.
According to Mr. George Lazaridis, head of Market Research & Asset Valuations with Allied Shipbroking, “this last point of low iron ore inventories is key, as we hadn’t seen this low inventory levels since early 2014, and while they might not be anywhere close to the low levels that were being reported in late 2012 and the majority of 2013, it still leaves some optimism for extra trading to take place as steel production is still rumoured to be at levels much higher than it was back then. Nevertheless, it doesn’t point to an overwhelming surge in demand the coming month, while reports of a slower harvest for grains this year, leaves further disappointment with regards to the potential of the seasonal spikes that typi-cally emerge during the year”.
However, as he noted, “signs of an improvement are still in sight, with a number of inquiries from West Austral-ia having already emerged and a number more rumoured to be under way. Yet many always place most of their hope on a surge in demand from South America, which is usually the one that ramps up the required tonne-miles and boosts utilisation rates by a bigger degree. In terms of grain cargoes, this was one of the main areas of disappoint-ment last year, with many having expected a stronger level of grain cargoes to come to market from ECSA, while at the same time Brazil had also lost some of its market share in the iron ore trade, meaning that a lower percent of new volume coming in was sourced from there. The latter is looking unlikely to change for the time being while the recent allowance of the large Valemaxes to enter Chinese ports might deteriorate the situation here further. This points more to a continuation of the current “status quo” rather than any major positive or negative shift and likely means that once again indica-tors point to an overall lacklustre performance for 2015″, Lazaridis said.
He went on to note that “therefore it is ever more imperative that the fleet growth is kept under check. Steps towards this end have already been taken to some degree, with a number of new order swapping having already taken place and a good number of overage units having al-ready been sent to be scrapped. This needs to further intensify during the year, allow-ing for a better balance between demand and supply. For the moment the fundamen-tals don’t seem to be there yet to support a claim for seeing similar trade growth levels as has been seen the past 5-6 years. China, the world second largest economy has yet to find its foothold, so as to be able to spur on growth, while many believe that econom-ic growth within the country has slowed down more than the official line reports. Politi-cal and economic turmoil in Europe is not helping either, with the almost stagnant Med/ Black Sea dry bulk trade being a strong indicator of this. It turns out that supply will play a more crucial role this year then what it has in the past, as it seems that it now holds the potential to really chock the market during one of its most difficult periods”, Lazaridis concluded.
In terms of demolition activity this past week, shipbroker Intermodal noted that “the trend of falling demolition prices finally came to a halt last week, which ended with prices across the board sustaining their levels from the week prior. As a result, slightly positive sentiment started building up, with market players still cautious but hopeful at the same times that maybe the market has found some sort of support around these levels. Amidst slowing down Chinese scrap steel imports last week, the Indian subcontinent market appears to indeed have caught a break, while this past week also marked the return of India back into action. Breakers in the country were quick to snap a number of available demo candidates ahead of the government’s budget announcement at the end of the month. Hopes that the budget announcement could bring along some sort of tax imports on Chinese steel, which would certainly boost demo prices in the country, has in fact rushed local breakers to position themselves in a market that could sooner rather than later be enjoying some upside. Prices this week for wet tonnage were at around 240-400 $/ldt and dry units received about 215-375 $/ldt”, the shipbroker said.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Thursday, 05 March 15
INDIA WILL BE THE LARGEST DRIVER OF GLOBAL SEABORNE COKING COAL DEMAND GROWTH IN 2015 - WOOD MACKENZIE
Global demand growth will remain weak because of China’s negative demand growth.
COALspot.com: At Coaltrans India, Wood Mackenzie says I ...
Thursday, 05 March 15
BUKIT ASAM BOOKED US$ 1 BILLION REVENUE IN 2014
COALspot.com: Indonesian publicly listed and state owned coal miner PT. Bukit Asam, has announced that, the revenue of the company for the period J ...
Wednesday, 04 March 15
AN AGENDA FOR CHANGE - FITCH INDONESIA CONFERENCE
Fitch Indonesia Conference - 5 March 2015
Fitch Ratings will host its annual Indonesia conference on 5 March 2015.
The theme of this year ...
Wednesday, 04 March 15
KEEP CALM AND INVEST IN DRY - THEODORE NTALAKOS
Keep Calm and Carry On was originally a motivational poster, intended to raise the morale of the British public, produced by the British government ...
Tuesday, 03 March 15
INDONESIAN COAL EXPORT VOLUME TO DECLINE 50% BY 2019
COALspot.com: The Indonesian government is planning to reduce coal export volume by 50% within the next five years while keeping its coal productio ...
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- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Planning Commission, India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- White Energy Company Limited
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
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