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Thursday, 26 February 15
DRY BULK MARKET LOOKING FOR POSITIVE MOMENTUM, BUT PROSPECTS REMAIN DIM - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
As the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) inched a bit higher over the past couple of sessions and the Chinese are returning to the market after a week long hiatus, most market delegates are looking to see if the market will bounce back. According to the latest weekly report from shipbroker Allied Shipbroking, “the truth is that commodity prices have still remained at relatively low levels despite a slight uptick these past couple of weeks. Both Iron ore and coal have noted an improve-ment compared to where they stood in early February, while iron ore inventories at China’s main ports are reported to be sloping down to 96 million dry tonnes with in-creased momentum”.
According to Mr. George Lazaridis, head of Market Research & Asset Valuations with Allied Shipbroking, “this last point of low iron ore inventories is key, as we hadn’t seen this low inventory levels since early 2014, and while they might not be anywhere close to the low levels that were being reported in late 2012 and the majority of 2013, it still leaves some optimism for extra trading to take place as steel production is still rumoured to be at levels much higher than it was back then. Nevertheless, it doesn’t point to an overwhelming surge in demand the coming month, while reports of a slower harvest for grains this year, leaves further disappointment with regards to the potential of the seasonal spikes that typi-cally emerge during the year”.
However, as he noted, “signs of an improvement are still in sight, with a number of inquiries from West Austral-ia having already emerged and a number more rumoured to be under way. Yet many always place most of their hope on a surge in demand from South America, which is usually the one that ramps up the required tonne-miles and boosts utilisation rates by a bigger degree. In terms of grain cargoes, this was one of the main areas of disappoint-ment last year, with many having expected a stronger level of grain cargoes to come to market from ECSA, while at the same time Brazil had also lost some of its market share in the iron ore trade, meaning that a lower percent of new volume coming in was sourced from there. The latter is looking unlikely to change for the time being while the recent allowance of the large Valemaxes to enter Chinese ports might deteriorate the situation here further. This points more to a continuation of the current “status quo” rather than any major positive or negative shift and likely means that once again indica-tors point to an overall lacklustre performance for 2015″, Lazaridis said.
He went on to note that “therefore it is ever more imperative that the fleet growth is kept under check. Steps towards this end have already been taken to some degree, with a number of new order swapping having already taken place and a good number of overage units having al-ready been sent to be scrapped. This needs to further intensify during the year, allow-ing for a better balance between demand and supply. For the moment the fundamen-tals don’t seem to be there yet to support a claim for seeing similar trade growth levels as has been seen the past 5-6 years. China, the world second largest economy has yet to find its foothold, so as to be able to spur on growth, while many believe that econom-ic growth within the country has slowed down more than the official line reports. Politi-cal and economic turmoil in Europe is not helping either, with the almost stagnant Med/ Black Sea dry bulk trade being a strong indicator of this. It turns out that supply will play a more crucial role this year then what it has in the past, as it seems that it now holds the potential to really chock the market during one of its most difficult periods”, Lazaridis concluded.
In terms of demolition activity this past week, shipbroker Intermodal noted that “the trend of falling demolition prices finally came to a halt last week, which ended with prices across the board sustaining their levels from the week prior. As a result, slightly positive sentiment started building up, with market players still cautious but hopeful at the same times that maybe the market has found some sort of support around these levels. Amidst slowing down Chinese scrap steel imports last week, the Indian subcontinent market appears to indeed have caught a break, while this past week also marked the return of India back into action. Breakers in the country were quick to snap a number of available demo candidates ahead of the government’s budget announcement at the end of the month. Hopes that the budget announcement could bring along some sort of tax imports on Chinese steel, which would certainly boost demo prices in the country, has in fact rushed local breakers to position themselves in a market that could sooner rather than later be enjoying some upside. Prices this week for wet tonnage were at around 240-400 $/ldt and dry units received about 215-375 $/ldt”, the shipbroker said.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Monday, 09 March 15
CHINA'S IMPORTS - NEVER MORE IMPORTANT TO SHIPPING? - CLARKSONS
Over the last 15 years China has led maritime forecasters a right old dance. In 2002, rumours that Chinese iron ore imports were about to take off ...
Sunday, 08 March 15
FREIGHT RATES FROM INDONESIA TO INDIA IS TRENDING UP
COALspot.com: The freight market continued to see gains this week and all the indices were rose except for Cape index. The BDI was increased 4.62 p ...
Friday, 06 March 15
BALTIC DRY INDEX: IS THIS POWERFUL INDICATOR SIGNALING A GLOBAL RECESSION? - STREET AUTHORITY
Although memories of the Great Recession linger, a case can be made that better days lie ahead.
That’s because central banks around the ...
Friday, 06 March 15
U.S. WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION ROSE 3.5% WEEK ON WEEK
COALspot.com – United States the world's one of the largest coal producers, produced approximately 17.1 million short tons (mmst) of coal ...
Thursday, 05 March 15
PANAMAX : THE ATLANTIC ROUND IS NOW PAYING AROUND US$ 5K PER DAY
COALspot.com: Handy - The activity in the handy/supra segment is back. “ We see more fresh cargo in the market for 2nd half March dates ...
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- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- White Energy Company Limited
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Planning Commission, India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- The University of Queensland
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
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