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Thursday, 26 February 15
DRY BULK MARKET LOOKING FOR POSITIVE MOMENTUM, BUT PROSPECTS REMAIN DIM - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
As the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) inched a bit higher over the past couple of sessions and the Chinese are returning to the market after a week long hiatus, most market delegates are looking to see if the market will bounce back. According to the latest weekly report from shipbroker Allied Shipbroking, “the truth is that commodity prices have still remained at relatively low levels despite a slight uptick these past couple of weeks. Both Iron ore and coal have noted an improve-ment compared to where they stood in early February, while iron ore inventories at China’s main ports are reported to be sloping down to 96 million dry tonnes with in-creased momentum”.
According to Mr. George Lazaridis, head of Market Research & Asset Valuations with Allied Shipbroking, “this last point of low iron ore inventories is key, as we hadn’t seen this low inventory levels since early 2014, and while they might not be anywhere close to the low levels that were being reported in late 2012 and the majority of 2013, it still leaves some optimism for extra trading to take place as steel production is still rumoured to be at levels much higher than it was back then. Nevertheless, it doesn’t point to an overwhelming surge in demand the coming month, while reports of a slower harvest for grains this year, leaves further disappointment with regards to the potential of the seasonal spikes that typi-cally emerge during the year”.
However, as he noted, “signs of an improvement are still in sight, with a number of inquiries from West Austral-ia having already emerged and a number more rumoured to be under way. Yet many always place most of their hope on a surge in demand from South America, which is usually the one that ramps up the required tonne-miles and boosts utilisation rates by a bigger degree. In terms of grain cargoes, this was one of the main areas of disappoint-ment last year, with many having expected a stronger level of grain cargoes to come to market from ECSA, while at the same time Brazil had also lost some of its market share in the iron ore trade, meaning that a lower percent of new volume coming in was sourced from there. The latter is looking unlikely to change for the time being while the recent allowance of the large Valemaxes to enter Chinese ports might deteriorate the situation here further. This points more to a continuation of the current “status quo” rather than any major positive or negative shift and likely means that once again indica-tors point to an overall lacklustre performance for 2015″, Lazaridis said.
He went on to note that “therefore it is ever more imperative that the fleet growth is kept under check. Steps towards this end have already been taken to some degree, with a number of new order swapping having already taken place and a good number of overage units having al-ready been sent to be scrapped. This needs to further intensify during the year, allow-ing for a better balance between demand and supply. For the moment the fundamen-tals don’t seem to be there yet to support a claim for seeing similar trade growth levels as has been seen the past 5-6 years. China, the world second largest economy has yet to find its foothold, so as to be able to spur on growth, while many believe that econom-ic growth within the country has slowed down more than the official line reports. Politi-cal and economic turmoil in Europe is not helping either, with the almost stagnant Med/ Black Sea dry bulk trade being a strong indicator of this. It turns out that supply will play a more crucial role this year then what it has in the past, as it seems that it now holds the potential to really chock the market during one of its most difficult periods”, Lazaridis concluded.
In terms of demolition activity this past week, shipbroker Intermodal noted that “the trend of falling demolition prices finally came to a halt last week, which ended with prices across the board sustaining their levels from the week prior. As a result, slightly positive sentiment started building up, with market players still cautious but hopeful at the same times that maybe the market has found some sort of support around these levels. Amidst slowing down Chinese scrap steel imports last week, the Indian subcontinent market appears to indeed have caught a break, while this past week also marked the return of India back into action. Breakers in the country were quick to snap a number of available demo candidates ahead of the government’s budget announcement at the end of the month. Hopes that the budget announcement could bring along some sort of tax imports on Chinese steel, which would certainly boost demo prices in the country, has in fact rushed local breakers to position themselves in a market that could sooner rather than later be enjoying some upside. Prices this week for wet tonnage were at around 240-400 $/ldt and dry units received about 215-375 $/ldt”, the shipbroker said.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Monday, 02 March 15
FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP ROSE 6.89% MONTH OVER MONTH
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q2’ 2015 delivery rose US$ 3.35 per MT (+6.89%) month over month and US$ 0.40 (0.78%) week on ...
Sunday, 01 March 15
BDI INDEX SLIGHTLY UP CAUSED AN INCREASE IN THE PANAMAX, SUPARAMAX AND HANDY SIZE INDICES
COALspot.com: The freight market saw some gains this week and BDI was up 5.26 pct closed at 540 points. However the Cape index failed to follow BDI ...
Friday, 27 February 15
WEEKLY US COAL PRODUCTION DOWN AN ESTIMATED 14.0% FROM LAST WEEK - EIA
COALspot.com – United States the world's one of the largest coal producers, produced approximately 16.5 million short tons (mmst) of coal ...
Thursday, 26 February 15
DRY BULK MARKET COULD REBOUND FROM HISTORICAL LOWS IN THE COMING WEEKS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The dry bulk market could exit from its historical lows in the coming weeks, as Chinese buyers reenter the market after the holiday celebrations. T ...
Thursday, 26 February 15
COAL POLICY RISK: HIGHER ROYALTIES FOR IUP HOLDERS - BAHANA SECURITIES | JAKARTA POST
The Energy and Mineral Resources Ministry plans to raise coal royalties charged to mining operation permit (IUP) holders by the end of the first qu ...
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- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Planning Commission, India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- The University of Queensland
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- White Energy Company Limited
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- PTC India Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
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