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Wednesday, 21 January 15
MARKET INSIGHT - VASSILIS LOGOTHETIS, INTERMODAL
 The World Bank has lowered its forecast for global growth in 2015 to 3% down from its previous level of 3.4% amid rising concerns over the economic prospects of several economies. The traditional engines of global economic growth with the exception of the United States and the United Kingdom seem to be running out of steam while at the same time a number of emerging economies are also entering troubled waters.
The Eurozone economies are suffering from anaemic growth rates, low inflation and a prolonged inability to coordinate their policies in order to over-come their current predicament. Similarly the Japanese economy is also suffering despite the extended monetary stimulus implemented by the Bank of Japan.
Among the emerging economies, Russia and Brazil have seen their economies stall as they are affected, among other factors, by falling commodity prices. The latter are expected to remain soft in the years to come, significantly hitting those economies that depend heavily on natural resources. Besides the much talked fall in oil prices, iron ore and coal prices have also seen significant decreases during the last months.
Among the key factors for this drop is China’s slowing economy. Although the latter is still growing, it has entered a path of gradual deceleration that already affects the world trade. The latter is expected to remain week during 2015 far away from its pre-crisis levels. At the shipping industry we have already seen the implication of this deceleration especially in the dry sector. The current adverse situation is reflected in the BCI index where we are reaching historical lows almost on a daily basis. During the last weeks the index has lost significant ground and the prospects remain dim as further drops in China’s GDP growth rate are expected to have additional negative implication for the world economy both for developed and developing economies.
Although the world outlook for 2015 does not look so good, pessimism should not dominate the market sentiment. We have entered a point in time where the much anticipated policy actions by governments and central banks to support economic activity are ante portas and the results can be nothing but positive. The ECB is anticipated to expand its balance sheet with purchases of sovereign bonds to support Eurozone economies and the economies of the United States and United Kingdom are expected to remain on the positive path.
China has already adopted measures to avoid financial distress and a number of other policy instruments are available to support its economy. In addition, low oil prices are expected to boost economic activity helping several emerging economies to improve their output outlook. Among them, India, which according to the World Bank is expected to overtake China as the world’s fastest growing big economy within the next two years, has seen its coal imports rise significantly since last year as the country tries to meet its growing power demand.
To sum up, despite the current difficulties that the world economy faces, a closer look suggests that there is room for significant improvement during 2015.
By Vassilis Logothetis
Research Analyst, Intermodal
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 30 January 15
U.S. YEAR-TO-DATE COAL PRODUCTION REACHED 65.7 MMST
COALspot.com – United States the world's one of the largest coal producers, produced approximately 19.9 million short tons (mmst) of coal ...
Friday, 30 January 15
CAN BULKER CONVERSIONS SPOIL THE TANKER MARKET'S PARTY? - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
Oversupply of tonnage has always been in the back of the head of ship owners when it comes to taking advantage of favorable market conditions. As s ...
Thursday, 29 January 15
CHINA ENERGY DEMAND MUST BE REVIEWED DUE TO FUNDAMENTAL ECONOMIC CHANGES - WOOD MACKENZIE
New patterns emerging as energy demand growth decoupled significantly from GDP growth for the first time in 2014
Wood Mackenzie says 2014 was ...
Thursday, 29 January 15
CAPE MARKET IS STILL STRUGGLING WITH LOW DEMAND AND LOW COMMODITY PRICES
Handy
Supramax rates are heading south with slipping rates all across the block. USG activity is slow with mid-week levels in the mid 8.000s, Fea ...
Wednesday, 28 January 15
MARKET INSIGHT - STELIOS KOLLINTZAS
With most traders having returned to action from year end festivities, we have already seen signs of activity in the specialized product markets. L ...
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- Australian Coal Association
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- White Energy Company Limited
- The University of Queensland
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- PTC India Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
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