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Wednesday, 21 January 15
MARKET INSIGHT - VASSILIS LOGOTHETIS, INTERMODAL
 The World Bank has lowered its forecast for global growth in 2015 to 3% down from its previous level of 3.4% amid rising concerns over the economic prospects of several economies. The traditional engines of global economic growth with the exception of the United States and the United Kingdom seem to be running out of steam while at the same time a number of emerging economies are also entering troubled waters.
The Eurozone economies are suffering from anaemic growth rates, low inflation and a prolonged inability to coordinate their policies in order to over-come their current predicament. Similarly the Japanese economy is also suffering despite the extended monetary stimulus implemented by the Bank of Japan.
Among the emerging economies, Russia and Brazil have seen their economies stall as they are affected, among other factors, by falling commodity prices. The latter are expected to remain soft in the years to come, significantly hitting those economies that depend heavily on natural resources. Besides the much talked fall in oil prices, iron ore and coal prices have also seen significant decreases during the last months.
Among the key factors for this drop is China’s slowing economy. Although the latter is still growing, it has entered a path of gradual deceleration that already affects the world trade. The latter is expected to remain week during 2015 far away from its pre-crisis levels. At the shipping industry we have already seen the implication of this deceleration especially in the dry sector. The current adverse situation is reflected in the BCI index where we are reaching historical lows almost on a daily basis. During the last weeks the index has lost significant ground and the prospects remain dim as further drops in China’s GDP growth rate are expected to have additional negative implication for the world economy both for developed and developing economies.
Although the world outlook for 2015 does not look so good, pessimism should not dominate the market sentiment. We have entered a point in time where the much anticipated policy actions by governments and central banks to support economic activity are ante portas and the results can be nothing but positive. The ECB is anticipated to expand its balance sheet with purchases of sovereign bonds to support Eurozone economies and the economies of the United States and United Kingdom are expected to remain on the positive path.
China has already adopted measures to avoid financial distress and a number of other policy instruments are available to support its economy. In addition, low oil prices are expected to boost economic activity helping several emerging economies to improve their output outlook. Among them, India, which according to the World Bank is expected to overtake China as the world’s fastest growing big economy within the next two years, has seen its coal imports rise significantly since last year as the country tries to meet its growing power demand.
To sum up, despite the current difficulties that the world economy faces, a closer look suggests that there is room for significant improvement during 2015.
By Vassilis Logothetis
Research Analyst, Intermodal
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 28 January 15
CAPES CONTINUED THEIR UPWARD MOVEMENT LAST WEEK - INTERMODAL
COALspot.com: The Dry Bulk market displayed a mirror performance of that of the week prior, with the Capesize market correcting further upwards and ...
Tuesday, 27 January 15
Q1 FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP CLOSED AT $ 47.87 FOR WEEK ENDING JAN. 23
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q1' 2015 gain week over week and declined month on month.
The Q1 swap has decline US$ 0.9 ...
Tuesday, 27 January 15
Q2 FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP UP 4.5% W-O-W
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery declined US$ 0.28 per MT (-0.54%) month over month and increased US$ 1.23 ( ...
Monday, 26 January 15
OVERSUPPLY, AMPLE STOCKPILES, AND LACKLUSTER UNDERLYING STEEL DEMAND KEPT COKING COAL PRICES LOW IN 2014
COALspot.com: Coking coal prices (FOB & CFR) fell 15% and 18% respectively during the year, amidst persistent oversupply, ample inventory and s ...
Monday, 26 January 15
FOB RICHARDS BAY Q2 COAL SWAP CLOSED LOWER THAN Q1 CLOSING
COALspot.com: API 4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery Q1' 2015 declined month over month and day on day.
The Q1 swap has fell ...
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- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Planning Commission, India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
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