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Wednesday, 21 January 15
MARKET INSIGHT - VASSILIS LOGOTHETIS, INTERMODAL
 The World Bank has lowered its forecast for global growth in 2015 to 3% down from its previous level of 3.4% amid rising concerns over the economic prospects of several economies. The traditional engines of global economic growth with the exception of the United States and the United Kingdom seem to be running out of steam while at the same time a number of emerging economies are also entering troubled waters.
The Eurozone economies are suffering from anaemic growth rates, low inflation and a prolonged inability to coordinate their policies in order to over-come their current predicament. Similarly the Japanese economy is also suffering despite the extended monetary stimulus implemented by the Bank of Japan.
Among the emerging economies, Russia and Brazil have seen their economies stall as they are affected, among other factors, by falling commodity prices. The latter are expected to remain soft in the years to come, significantly hitting those economies that depend heavily on natural resources. Besides the much talked fall in oil prices, iron ore and coal prices have also seen significant decreases during the last months.
Among the key factors for this drop is China’s slowing economy. Although the latter is still growing, it has entered a path of gradual deceleration that already affects the world trade. The latter is expected to remain week during 2015 far away from its pre-crisis levels. At the shipping industry we have already seen the implication of this deceleration especially in the dry sector. The current adverse situation is reflected in the BCI index where we are reaching historical lows almost on a daily basis. During the last weeks the index has lost significant ground and the prospects remain dim as further drops in China’s GDP growth rate are expected to have additional negative implication for the world economy both for developed and developing economies.
Although the world outlook for 2015 does not look so good, pessimism should not dominate the market sentiment. We have entered a point in time where the much anticipated policy actions by governments and central banks to support economic activity are ante portas and the results can be nothing but positive. The ECB is anticipated to expand its balance sheet with purchases of sovereign bonds to support Eurozone economies and the economies of the United States and United Kingdom are expected to remain on the positive path.
China has already adopted measures to avoid financial distress and a number of other policy instruments are available to support its economy. In addition, low oil prices are expected to boost economic activity helping several emerging economies to improve their output outlook. Among them, India, which according to the World Bank is expected to overtake China as the world’s fastest growing big economy within the next two years, has seen its coal imports rise significantly since last year as the country tries to meet its growing power demand.
To sum up, despite the current difficulties that the world economy faces, a closer look suggests that there is room for significant improvement during 2015.
By Vassilis Logothetis
Research Analyst, Intermodal
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 05 February 15
ULTRAMAX LEVELS FROM INDIA TO CHINA IN THE MID US$ 5000'S - FEARNLEYS AS
Handy
Despite the overall weak sentiment, there is a scent of optimism in the Atlantic market for ppt dates. Continent is still struggling with o ...
Wednesday, 04 February 15
MARKET INSIGHT - LINOS KOGEVINAS
It has been just about over 2 months since, in a move that surprised many and caused widespread apprehension, OPEC decided to maintain its producti ...
Tuesday, 03 February 15
Q1'15 FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP CLOSED $ 3.29 HIGHER COMPARED TO Q4'15 DELIVERY PRICE
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q1' 2015 rose week over week and month on month.
The Q1 swap up US$ 0.68 (+1.41%) month o ...
Tuesday, 03 February 15
FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP FOR Q4 DELIVERY CLOSED 5.86% LOWER THAN Q1 PRICE
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery rose US$ 0.26 per MT (+0.51%) week over week and declined US$ 0.02 (-0.04%) ...
Monday, 02 February 15
API 4 FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAP ROSE WEEK OVER WEEK
COALspot.com: API 4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery Q1' 2015 declined month over month and day on day.
The Q1 swap has decli ...
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- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- PTC India Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- The University of Queensland
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
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