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Wednesday, 21 January 15
MARKET INSIGHT - VASSILIS LOGOTHETIS, INTERMODAL
 The World Bank has lowered its forecast for global growth in 2015 to 3% down from its previous level of 3.4% amid rising concerns over the economic prospects of several economies. The traditional engines of global economic growth with the exception of the United States and the United Kingdom seem to be running out of steam while at the same time a number of emerging economies are also entering troubled waters.
The Eurozone economies are suffering from anaemic growth rates, low inflation and a prolonged inability to coordinate their policies in order to over-come their current predicament. Similarly the Japanese economy is also suffering despite the extended monetary stimulus implemented by the Bank of Japan.
Among the emerging economies, Russia and Brazil have seen their economies stall as they are affected, among other factors, by falling commodity prices. The latter are expected to remain soft in the years to come, significantly hitting those economies that depend heavily on natural resources. Besides the much talked fall in oil prices, iron ore and coal prices have also seen significant decreases during the last months.
Among the key factors for this drop is China’s slowing economy. Although the latter is still growing, it has entered a path of gradual deceleration that already affects the world trade. The latter is expected to remain week during 2015 far away from its pre-crisis levels. At the shipping industry we have already seen the implication of this deceleration especially in the dry sector. The current adverse situation is reflected in the BCI index where we are reaching historical lows almost on a daily basis. During the last weeks the index has lost significant ground and the prospects remain dim as further drops in China’s GDP growth rate are expected to have additional negative implication for the world economy both for developed and developing economies.
Although the world outlook for 2015 does not look so good, pessimism should not dominate the market sentiment. We have entered a point in time where the much anticipated policy actions by governments and central banks to support economic activity are ante portas and the results can be nothing but positive. The ECB is anticipated to expand its balance sheet with purchases of sovereign bonds to support Eurozone economies and the economies of the United States and United Kingdom are expected to remain on the positive path.
China has already adopted measures to avoid financial distress and a number of other policy instruments are available to support its economy. In addition, low oil prices are expected to boost economic activity helping several emerging economies to improve their output outlook. Among them, India, which according to the World Bank is expected to overtake China as the world’s fastest growing big economy within the next two years, has seen its coal imports rise significantly since last year as the country tries to meet its growing power demand.
To sum up, despite the current difficulties that the world economy faces, a closer look suggests that there is room for significant improvement during 2015.
By Vassilis Logothetis
Research Analyst, Intermodal
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 10 February 15
IRON ORE MARKET TO REMAIN OVERSUPPLIED IN 2015: PRICE FORECAST $70/T - WOOD MACKENZIE
COALspot.com: With January witnessing the price of iron ore falling to its lowest levels since May 2009, Roger Emslie, Principal Metals & ...
Tuesday, 10 February 15
SUB-BIT FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP ADVANCES 3.79% WEEK ON WEEK
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q2' 2015 rose week over week and month on month.
The Q2 swap up US$ 0.85 (+1.81%) month o ...
Tuesday, 10 February 15
FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAPS SURGE WEEK OVER WEEK, RAISING HOPES?
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q2’ 2015 delivery rose US$ 0.95 per MT (+1.91%) week over week and declined US$ 0.06 (-0.12%) ...
Monday, 09 February 15
AUSTRALIAN COAL PRODUCERS BEST POSITIONED IN OVERSUPPLIED MARKET; US MINES MOST AT RISK - WOOD MACKENZIE
In a 2015 global coal outlook report, Wood Mackenzie says that Australia and Indonesian coal suppliers will see some upside in the difficult months ...
Monday, 09 February 15
FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAP GAINS 3.65% TO ONE-MONTH HIGH
COALspot.com: API 4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery Q2' 2015 surge month over month and day on day.
The Q2 swap has soared US$ 2.1 ...
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- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- The University of Queensland
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Planning Commission, India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
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